Colon Santa Fe v Almirante Brown: numbers & prediction

Colon Santa Fe vs Almirante Brown: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 17 October the Primera Nacional brings Colon Santa Fe against Almirante Brown. Kick-off: 22:00 WAT. In the table, Colon Santa Fe are 5th, upper half, on 60 points after 36 matches; Almirante Brown are 6th (upper half) with 51.

Current form

Colon Santa Fe, last 5: DWDWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Atletico Mitre, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Almirante Brown, last 5: DLLLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with San Miguel, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Momentum favours Colon Santa Fe, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.5 for Almirante Brown.

Head to head

When they last met (30 May 2026) it ended Almirante Brown 1–1 Colon Santa Fe.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Colon Santa Fe 1.3 xG, Almirante Brown 0.4 xG – a total near 1.7. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 76% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

• 1X2 according to our numbers – Colon Santa Fe 64%, draw 22%, Almirante Brown 14%.
• Lower-risk option: Colon Santa Fe or draw (86%) at 1.15.
• GG/NG: NG (59%) at 1.50.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Colon Santa Fe to win (64%, odds 1.73 – longer than our fair 1.55, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Colon Santa Fe 1–0 Almirante Brown. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.