San Martin Tucuman v Midland Prediction & Expected Goals (17 Oct) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultSan Martin Tucuman to win ✓42% · @2.10

Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.40

Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.55

GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗68% · fair 1.48

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.80

San Martin Tucuman vs Midland: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

21:00 WAT, Saturday 17 October: San Martin Tucuman v Midland in the Primera Nacional, played at Estadio La Ciudadela. In the table, San Martin Tucuman are 10th, lower half, on 47 points after 36 matches; Midland are 5th (upper half) with 55.

Current form

San Martin Tucuman, last 5: LWDLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Atlanta, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Midland, last 5: WDLWW Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Atletico DE Rafaela, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Midland, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for San Martin Tucuman.

Head to head

When they last met (31 May 2026) it ended Midland 2–0 San Martin Tucuman.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give San Martin Tucuman 1.1 xG, Midland 0.9 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – San Martin Tucuman 42%, draw 26%, Midland 33%.
GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.55.
Price worth noting: Midland to win @3.90 – the bookmaker implies 26%, our ratings say 33%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (52%, odds 1.55). Most likely score in line with that pick: San Martin Tucuman 1–0 Midland. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

San Martin Tucuman42%fair 2.41 · @2.10

Draw26%fair 3.86 · @2.75

Midland33%fair 3.07 · @3.90

2.00Expected goals

1.09San Martin Tucuman xG

0.91Midland xG

48%Both score

32%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–015%

0–014%

1–113%

0–112%

2–08%

2–17%

From our goals model: San Martin Tucuman 1.1 – 0.9 Midland expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	San Martin Tucuman to win ✓	42%	2.41	2.10
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	74%	1.35	1.40
Both teams to score	Not both teams to score ✗	52%	1.92	1.55
Draw no bet	San Martin Tucuman (draw no bet) ✓	56%	1.78	–
Asian handicap	Midland +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗	61%	1.64	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	59%	1.68	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✗	68%	1.48	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	86%	1.17	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✗	95%	1.06	–
First team to score	San Martin Tucuman to score first ✗	47%	2.13	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	50%	2.01	–
Half-time / full-time	HT San Martin Tucuman / FT San Martin Tucuman ✗	22%	4.55	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–0 ✗	15%	6.80	–

San Martin Tucuman – last 6

LWDLWL

11 Oct	@ Atlanta	0–1	L
4 Oct	vs Gimnasia Y Tiro	1–0	W
28 Sep	@ Gimnasia Jujuy	2–2	D
19 Sep	@ Atletico DE Rafaela	2–4	L
13 Sep	vs Agropecuario	3–0	W
5 Sep	@ Tristan Suarez	0–2	L

1.3Scored / game

1.5Conceded / game

33%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Midland – last 6

WDLWWL

10 Oct	vs Atletico DE Rafaela	4–0	W
4 Oct	@ Agropecuario	0–0	D
27 Sep	vs Tristan Suarez	0–1	L
20 Sep	@ Club Atlético Güemes	2–0	W
13 Sep	vs Chacarita Juniors	1–0	W
6 Sep	@ San Martin S.J.	2–3	L

1.5Scored / game

0.7Conceded / game

17%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Tristan Suarez	36	16	16	4	+18	64
2	Atlanta	36	19	5	12	+8	62
3	Temperley	36	16	13	7	+12	61
4	Gimnasia Jujuy	36	16	10	10	+4	58
5	Midland	36	15	10	11	+14	55
6	Deportivo Maipu	36	14	10	12	+9	52
7	Colegiales	36	14	10	12	+4	52
8	Gimnasia Y Tiro	36	14	10	12	+2	52
9	San Martin S.J.	36	13	12	11	+6	51
10	San Martin Tucuman	36	11	14	11	+2	47
11	Atletico DE Rafaela	36	12	11	13	-6	47
12	Agropecuario	36	12	10	14	-8	46
13	Quilmes	36	12	9	15	+3	45
14	Chacarita Juniors	36	12	6	18	-6	42
15	Almagro	36	11	9	16	-11	42
16	Patronato	36	7	17	12	-6	38
17	Nueva Chicago	36	9	10	17	-11	37
18	Club Atlético Güemes	36	6	9	21	-34	27

Team

Pts

+18

+12

+14

-6

-8

-6

-11

-6

-11

-34

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for San Martin Tucuman vs Midland?

Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.

Who will win San Martin Tucuman vs Midland?

On our numbers San Martin Tucuman have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Midland 33%.

How many goals will there be in San Martin Tucuman vs Midland?

We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for San Martin Tucuman vs Midland?

Our predicted score is San Martin Tucuman 1–0 Midland, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.

When is San Martin Tucuman vs Midland?

San Martin Tucuman vs Midland (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio La Ciudadela.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

San Martin Tucuman v Midland: numbers & prediction