San Martín Burzaco 47%Draw 29%Defensores Unidos 24%Expected goals 1.20 – 0.88
65%
Betarazi pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.45
6/10Rating
1.45Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.20 – our chance 52% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultSan Martín Burzaco to win47% · @1.85
Double chanceSan Martín Burzaco or draw76% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score52% · @2.20
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–18% · fair 12.61
San Martín Burzaco vs Defensores Unidos: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Defensores Unidos travel to face San Martín Burzaco on Saturday 11 April in the Primera B Metropolitana, with Francisco Boga Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 19:30 WAT. In the table, San Martín Burzaco are 12th, lower half, on 51 points after 42 matches; Defensores Unidos are 19th (lower half) with 46.
Current form
San Martín Burzaco, last 5: WDWDD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Comunicaciones, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.6 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Defensores Unidos, last 5: DDLDD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Liniers, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours San Martín Burzaco, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.8 for Defensores Unidos.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give San Martín Burzaco 1.2 xG, Defensores Unidos 0.9 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 65%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – San Martín Burzaco 47%, draw 29%, Defensores Unidos 24%.
Lower-risk option: San Martín Burzaco or draw (76%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.20.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.20 – the bookmaker implies 45%, our ratings say 52%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (65%, odds 1.45). Most likely score in line with that pick: San Martín Burzaco 1–0 Defensores Unidos. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
San Martín Burzaco47%fair 2.11 · @1.85
Draw29%fair 3.45 · @3.10
Defensores Unidos24%fair 4.23 · @4.20
2.09Expected goals
1.20San Martín Burzaco xG
0.88Defensores Unidos xG
52%Both score
35%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
1–113%
0–012%
0–111%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: San Martín Burzaco 1.2 – 0.9 Defensores Unidos expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
San Martín Burzaco
Defensores Unidos
Attack vs Primera B Metropolitana average
+4%
-16%
Goals conceded vs average
+32%
-13%
Our expected goals here
1.06
0.96
Our own ratings from every Primera B Metropolitana result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
San Martín Burzaco to win
47%
2.11
1.85
Double chance
San Martín Burzaco or draw
76%
1.31
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
52%
1.91
2.20 ▲
Draw no bet
San Martín Burzaco (draw no bet)
67%
1.50
–
Asian handicap
Defensores Unidos +1 (Asian handicap)
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
62%
1.62
1.50
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
65%
1.54
1.45
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
84%
1.19
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
94%
1.06
–
First team to score
San Martín Burzaco to score first
50%
1.98
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
49%
2.06
–
Half-time / full-time
HT San Martín Burzaco / FT San Martín Burzaco
25%
4.02
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
8%
12.61
–
Recent results
San Martín Burzaco – last 5
WDWDD
5 Apr
@ Comunicaciones
1–0
W
29 Mar
vs Dock Sud
1–1
D
4 Mar
vs Ituzaingó
3–0
W
28 Feb
vs Villa San Carlos
3–3
D
22 Feb
@ Liniers
0–0
D
1.6Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Defensores Unidos – last 5
DDLDD
29 Mar
@ Liniers
1–1
D
15 Mar
@ UAI Urquiza
2–2
D
5 Mar
@ Excursionistas
0–1
L
27 Feb
vs Arsenal Sarandi
1–1
D
15 Feb
vs Talleres Remedios
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
60%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between San Martín Burzaco and Defensores Unidos.
What is the prediction for San Martín Burzaco vs Defensores Unidos?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win San Martín Burzaco vs Defensores Unidos?
On our numbers San Martín Burzaco have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Defensores Unidos 24%.
How many goals will there be in San Martín Burzaco vs Defensores Unidos?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for San Martín Burzaco vs Defensores Unidos?
Our predicted score is San Martín Burzaco 1–0 Defensores Unidos, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is San Martín Burzaco vs Defensores Unidos?
San Martín Burzaco vs Defensores Unidos (Primera B Metropolitana) kicks off on Saturday 11 April 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Francisco Boga Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
