Villa Dalmine 47%Draw 29%Deportivo Laferrere 24%Expected goals 1.20 – 0.88
66%
Betarazi pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.42
6/10Rating
1.42Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.20 – our chance 52% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultVilla Dalmine to win47% · @1.91
Double chanceVilla Dalmine or draw76% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score52% · @2.20
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–18% · fair 12.63
Villa Dalmine vs Deportivo Laferrere: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:30 WAT, Saturday 11 April: Villa Dalmine v Deportivo Laferrere in the Primera B Metropolitana, played at Estadio El Coliseo de Mitre y Puccini. In the table, Villa Dalmine are 6th, upper half, on 68 points after 42 matches; Deportivo Laferrere are 10th (upper half) with 59.
Current form
Villa Dalmine, last 5: WDDWL Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Brown DE Adrogue, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.6 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Deportivo Laferrere, last 3: LLD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Talleres Remedios, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Momentum favours Villa Dalmine, collecting 1.6 points per game to 0.3 for Deportivo Laferrere.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Villa Dalmine 1.2 xG, Deportivo Laferrere 0.9 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 66%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Villa Dalmine 47%, draw 29%, Deportivo Laferrere 24%.
Lower-risk option: Villa Dalmine or draw (76%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.20.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.20 – the bookmaker implies 45%, our ratings say 52%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (66%, odds 1.42). Most likely score in line with that pick: Villa Dalmine 1–0 Deportivo Laferrere. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Villa Dalmine47%fair 2.15 · @1.91
Draw29%fair 3.39 · @2.95
Deportivo Laferrere24%fair 4.17 · @4.10
2.08Expected goals
1.20Villa Dalmine xG
0.88Deportivo Laferrere xG
52%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
1–113%
0–013%
0–111%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Villa Dalmine 1.2 – 0.9 Deportivo Laferrere expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Villa Dalmine
Deportivo Laferrere
Attack vs Primera B Metropolitana average
-23%
+26%
Goals conceded vs average
-14%
+19%
Our expected goals here
1.07
0.93
Our own ratings from every Primera B Metropolitana result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Villa Dalmine to win
47%
2.15
1.91
Double chance
Villa Dalmine or draw
76%
1.32
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
52%
1.92
2.20 ▲
Draw no bet
Villa Dalmine (draw no bet)
66%
1.52
–
Asian handicap
Deportivo Laferrere +1 (Asian handicap)
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
61%
1.64
1.55
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
66%
1.53
1.42
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
84%
1.19
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
94%
1.06
–
First team to score
Villa Dalmine to score first
51%
1.98
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
49%
2.05
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Villa Dalmine / FT Villa Dalmine
25%
4.02
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
8%
12.63
–
Recent results
Villa Dalmine – last 5
WDDWL
3 Apr
@ Brown DE Adrogue
4–1
W
15 Mar
vs Argentino Quilmes
1–1
D
4 Mar
vs Comunicaciones
0–0
D
27 Feb
@ Dock Sud
1–0
W
22 Feb
vs Deportivo Merlo
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
0.6Conceded / game
40%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Deportivo Laferrere – last 3
LLD
15 Mar
@ Talleres Remedios
0–2
L
3 Mar
vs Brown DE Adrogue
0–1
L
15 Feb
@ Argentino Quilmes
1–1
D
0.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Villa Dalmine and Deportivo Laferrere.
What is the prediction for Villa Dalmine vs Deportivo Laferrere?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win Villa Dalmine vs Deportivo Laferrere?
On our numbers Villa Dalmine have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Deportivo Laferrere 24%.
How many goals will there be in Villa Dalmine vs Deportivo Laferrere?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Villa Dalmine vs Deportivo Laferrere?
Our predicted score is Villa Dalmine 1–0 Deportivo Laferrere, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Villa Dalmine vs Deportivo Laferrere?
Villa Dalmine vs Deportivo Laferrere (Primera B Metropolitana) kicks off on Saturday 11 April 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio El Coliseo de Mitre y Puccini.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
