Villa San Carlos 37%Draw 30%Argentino Quilmes 33%Expected goals 1.13 – 0.86
66%
Betarazi pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.45
6/10Rating
1.45Odds
Picks by market
ResultVilla San Carlos to win37% · @2.62
Double chanceEither team to win70% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score50% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals66% · @1.45
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–18% · fair 13.32
Villa San Carlos vs Argentino Quilmes: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 11 April the Primera B Metropolitana brings Villa San Carlos against Argentino Quilmes at Genacio Salice Stadium. Kick-off: 19:30 WAT. In the table, Villa San Carlos are 11th, upper half, on 51 points after 42 matches; Argentino Quilmes are 17th (lower half) with 47.
Current form
Villa San Carlos, last 4: LLDW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Dock Sud, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Argentino Quilmes, last 5: LDWLL Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Real Pilar, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Villa San Carlos 1.1 xG, Argentino Quilmes 0.9 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 66%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Villa San Carlos 37%, draw 30%, Argentino Quilmes 33%.
GG/NG: GG (50%) at 2.10.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (66%, odds 1.45). Most likely score in line with that pick: Villa San Carlos 1–0 Argentino Quilmes. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Villa San Carlos37%fair 2.67 · @2.62
Draw30%fair 3.34 · @2.95
Argentino Quilmes33%fair 3.06 · @2.62
1.99Expected goals
1.13Villa San Carlos xG
0.86Argentino Quilmes xG
50%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
0–014%
1–113%
0–112%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Villa San Carlos 1.1 – 0.9 Argentino Quilmes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Villa San Carlos
Argentino Quilmes
Attack vs Primera B Metropolitana average
-0%
-24%
Goals conceded vs average
-5%
-8%
Our expected goals here
1.08
0.62
Our own ratings from every Primera B Metropolitana result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Villa San Carlos to win
37%
2.67
2.62
Double chance
Either team to win
70%
1.43
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
50%
1.99
2.10 ▲
Draw no bet
Villa San Carlos (draw no bet)
53%
1.87
–
Asian handicap
Argentino Quilmes +1 (Asian handicap)
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
61%
1.65
1.50
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
66%
1.51
1.45
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
86%
1.16
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
95%
1.05
–
First team to score
Villa San Carlos to score first
49%
2.04
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
50%
2.01
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Villa San Carlos / FT Villa San Carlos
24%
4.24
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
8%
13.32
–
Recent results
Villa San Carlos – last 4
LLDW
23 Mar
@ Dock Sud
0–2
L
3 Mar
vs Sportivo Italiano
0–1
L
28 Feb
@ San Martín Burzaco
3–3
D
22 Feb
vs Ituzaingó
3–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Argentino Quilmes – last 6
LDWLLD
29 Mar
@ Real Pilar
2–3
L
15 Mar
@ Villa Dalmine
1–1
D
4 Mar
@ Arsenal Sarandi
1–0
W
27 Feb
vs Argentino de Merlo
0–1
L
22 Feb
@ Talleres Remedios
0–1
L
15 Feb
vs Deportivo Laferrere
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Villa San Carlos and Argentino Quilmes.
What is the prediction for Villa San Carlos vs Argentino Quilmes?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Villa San Carlos vs Argentino Quilmes?
On our numbers Villa San Carlos have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 30% and Argentino Quilmes 33%.
How many goals will there be in Villa San Carlos vs Argentino Quilmes?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Villa San Carlos vs Argentino Quilmes?
Our predicted score is Villa San Carlos 1–0 Argentino Quilmes, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Villa San Carlos vs Argentino Quilmes?
Villa San Carlos vs Argentino Quilmes (Primera B Metropolitana) kicks off on Saturday 11 April 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Genacio Salice Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
