Sportivo Italiano 49%Draw 30%Comunicaciones 21%Expected goals 1.14 – 0.65
70%
Betarazi pick
Under 2.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.42 · bookmaker 1.38
7/10Rating
1.38Odds
Picks by market
ResultSportivo Italiano to win49% · @1.95
Double chanceSportivo Italiano or draw79% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score52% · @1.48
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals70% · @1.38
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–019% · fair 5.25
Sportivo Italiano vs Comunicaciones: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:30 WAT, Saturday 11 April: Sportivo Italiano v Comunicaciones in the Primera B Metropolitana, played at Republica de Italia Stadium. In the table, Sportivo Italiano are 3rd, among the top four, on 72 points after 42 matches; Comunicaciones are 9th (upper half) with 60. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Sportivo Italiano, last 5: WWDWW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Dock Sud, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.
Comunicaciones, last 5: LWLDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to San Martín Burzaco, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.6 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Sportivo Italiano, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.4 for Comunicaciones.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sportivo Italiano 1.1 xG, Comunicaciones 0.6 xG – a total near 1.8. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 70%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sportivo Italiano 49%, draw 30%, Comunicaciones 21%.
Lower-risk option: Sportivo Italiano or draw (79%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.48.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (70%, odds 1.38). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sportivo Italiano 1–0 Comunicaciones. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sportivo Italiano49%fair 2.03 · @1.95
Draw30%fair 3.38 · @2.95
Comunicaciones21%fair 4.74 · @3.90
1.79Expected goals
1.14Sportivo Italiano xG
0.65Comunicaciones xG
48%Both score
30%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–019%
0–017%
1–112%
0–111%
2–011%
2–17%
From our goals model: Sportivo Italiano 1.1 – 0.6 Comunicaciones expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Sportivo Italiano
Comunicaciones
Attack vs Primera B Metropolitana average
+14%
-14%
Goals conceded vs average
-15%
-23%
Our expected goals here
1.02
0.62
Our own ratings from every Primera B Metropolitana result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sportivo Italiano to win
49%
2.03
1.95
Double chance
Sportivo Italiano or draw
79%
1.27
1.17
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
52%
1.94
1.48
Draw no bet
Sportivo Italiano (draw no bet)
70%
1.43
–
Asian handicap
Comunicaciones +1 (Asian handicap)
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
55%
1.80
1.62
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
70%
1.42
1.38
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
89%
1.12
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
96%
1.04
–
First team to score
Sportivo Italiano to score first
53%
1.89
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
52%
1.91
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sportivo Italiano / FT Sportivo Italiano
27%
3.71
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
19%
5.25
–
Recent results
Sportivo Italiano – last 6
WWDWWW
5 Apr
@ Dock Sud
3–1
W
29 Mar
vs Deportivo Merlo
2–1
W
15 Mar
vs Ituzaingó
0–0
D
3 Mar
@ Villa San Carlos
1–0
W
27 Feb
vs Liniers
2–1
W
22 Feb
@ Real Pilar
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Comunicaciones – last 5
LWLDW
5 Apr
vs San Martín Burzaco
0–1
L
24 Mar
vs Liniers
2–0
W
16 Mar
@ Real Pilar
0–2
L
4 Mar
@ Villa Dalmine
0–0
D
16 Feb
vs Argentino de Merlo
1–0
W
0.6Scored / game
0.6Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sportivo Italiano and Comunicaciones.
What is the prediction for Sportivo Italiano vs Comunicaciones?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win Sportivo Italiano vs Comunicaciones?
On our numbers Sportivo Italiano have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 30% and Comunicaciones 21%.
How many goals will there be in Sportivo Italiano vs Comunicaciones?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 30% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sportivo Italiano vs Comunicaciones?
Our predicted score is Sportivo Italiano 1–0 Comunicaciones, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Sportivo Italiano vs Comunicaciones?
Sportivo Italiano vs Comunicaciones (Primera B Metropolitana) kicks off on Saturday 11 April 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Republica de Italia Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
