Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.53
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓69% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓14% · fair 7.18
Argentino de Merlo vs Villa San Carlos: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:00 WAT, Saturday 26 September: Argentino de Merlo v Villa San Carlos in the Primera B Metropolitana, played at Estadio Juan Carlos Brieva. In the table, Argentino de Merlo are 13th, lower half, on 50 points after 42 matches; Villa San Carlos are 11th (upper half) with 51. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Argentino de Merlo, last 5: WLLDL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Liniers, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Villa San Carlos, last 5: DDDLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Talleres Remedios, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Villa San Carlos, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.8 for Argentino de Merlo.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Argentino de Merlo 1.0 xG, Villa San Carlos 1.0 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 69%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Argentino de Merlo 36%, draw 26%, Villa San Carlos 37%.
GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.53.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (69%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Argentino de Merlo 0–0 Villa San Carlos. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Argentino de Merlo36%fair 2.75 · @2.70
Draw26%fair 3.80 · @2.62
Villa San Carlos37%fair 2.67 · @2.70
1.96Expected goals
0.97Argentino de Merlo xG
0.99Villa San Carlos xG
47%Both score
31%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–014%
0–114%
1–014%
1–114%
0–27%
1–27%
From our goals model: Argentino de Merlo 1.0 – 1.0 Villa San Carlos expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Villa San Carlos to win✓
37%
2.67
2.70
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.36
1.40
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.89
1.53
Draw no bet
Villa San Carlos (draw no bet)✓
51%
1.97
–
Asian handicap
Argentino de Merlo +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
58%
1.72
1.62
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
1.36
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
1.11
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.08
1.03
First team to score
Villa San Carlos to score first✓
43%
2.30
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
50%
1.98
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
22%
4.50
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✓
14%
7.18
–
Recent results
Argentino de Merlo – last 6
WLLDLD
20 Sep
@ Liniers
2–1
W
12 Sep
vs Real Pilar
0–1
L
6 Sep
@ UAI Urquiza
0–2
L
30 Aug
vs Villa Dalmine
0–0
D
26 Aug
@ Excursionistas
0–2
L
22 Aug
vs Arsenal Sarandi
0–0
D
0.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Villa San Carlos – last 6
DDDLWW
20 Sep
vs Talleres Remedios
0–0
D
12 Sep
@ Deportivo Laferrere
1–1
D
6 Sep
vs Brown DE Adrogue
0–0
D
30 Aug
@ Deportivo Armenio
0–1
L
25 Aug
vs Flandria
3–2
W
22 Aug
@ Argentino Quilmes
2–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Argentino de Merlo and Villa San Carlos.
What is the prediction for Argentino de Merlo vs Villa San Carlos?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Argentino de Merlo vs Villa San Carlos?
On our numbers Argentino de Merlo have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Villa San Carlos 37%.
How many goals will there be in Argentino de Merlo vs Villa San Carlos?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 31% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Argentino de Merlo vs Villa San Carlos?
Our predicted score is Argentino de Merlo 0–0 Villa San Carlos, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Argentino de Merlo vs Villa San Carlos?
Argentino de Merlo vs Villa San Carlos (Primera B Metropolitana) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Juan Carlos Brieva.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
