Arsenal Sarandi v Liniers Prediction & Expected Goals (26 Sep) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultArsenal Sarandi to win ✓61% · @1.44

Double chanceArsenal Sarandi or draw ✓81% · @1.10

Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.50

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.22

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.67

Arsenal Sarandi vs Liniers: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

19:00 WAT, Saturday 26 September: Arsenal Sarandi v Liniers in the Primera B Metropolitana, played at Estadio Julio Humberto Grondona. In the table, Arsenal Sarandi are 2nd, among the top four, on 77 points after 42 matches; Liniers are 16th (lower half) with 48. There are 29 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Arsenal Sarandi, last 5: LWWWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Real Pilar, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.

Liniers, last 5: LWDDW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Argentino de Merlo, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Arsenal Sarandi, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.3 for Liniers.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Arsenal Sarandi 1.5 xG, Liniers 0.6 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 61%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Arsenal Sarandi 61%, draw 20%, Liniers 19%.
GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.50.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (80%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Arsenal Sarandi 1–0 Liniers. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Arsenal Sarandi61%fair 1.63 · @1.44

Draw20%fair 5.08 · @3.50

Liniers19%fair 5.28 · @7.00

2.14Expected goals

1.50Arsenal Sarandi xG

0.64Liniers xG

48%Both score

39%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–018%

2–013%

0–012%

1–111%

2–18%

0–18%

From our goals model: Arsenal Sarandi 1.5 – 0.6 Liniers expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Arsenal Sarandi to win ✓	61%	1.63	1.44
Double chance	Arsenal Sarandi or draw ✓	81%	1.23	1.10
Both teams to score	Not both teams to score ✓	52%	1.93	1.50
Draw no bet	Arsenal Sarandi (draw no bet) ✓	76%	1.31	–
Asian handicap	Liniers +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗	69%	1.44	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	65%	1.55	1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✓	61%	1.64	1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	80%	1.25	1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	90%	1.11	1.07
First team to score	Arsenal Sarandi to score first ✓	62%	1.61	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	47%	2.15	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Arsenal Sarandi / FT Arsenal Sarandi ✓	35%	2.84	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–0 ✗	18%	5.67	–

Arsenal Sarandi – last 6

LWWWWD

19 Sep	@ Real Pilar	1–2	L
12 Sep	vs UAI Urquiza	2–0	W
5 Sep	@ Villa Dalmine	1–0	W
29 Aug	vs Excursionistas	3–0	W
25 Aug	vs Ituzaingó	2–0	W
22 Aug	@ Argentino de Merlo	0–0	D

1.5Scored / game

0.3Conceded / game

17%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

Liniers – last 6

LWDDWL

20 Sep	vs Argentino de Merlo	1–2	L
12 Sep	@ Talleres Remedios	2–0	W
6 Sep	vs Deportivo Laferrere	2–2	D
29 Aug	@ Brown DE Adrogue	1–1	D
26 Aug	vs Deportivo Armenio	3–1	W
22 Aug	@ Flandria	0–1	L

1.5Scored / game

1.2Conceded / game

67%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Excursionistas	42	24	9	9	+36	81
2	Arsenal Sarandi	42	21	14	7	+28	77
3	Sportivo Italiano	42	20	12	10	+15	72
4	Talleres Remedios	42	20	11	11	+19	71
5	Deportivo Camioneros	42	19	13	10	+15	70
6	Villa Dalmine	42	18	14	10	+12	68
7	Real Pilar	42	18	12	12	+4	66
8	Deportivo Armenio	42	17	12	13	+3	63
9	Comunicaciones	42	15	15	12	+5	60
10	Deportivo Laferrere	42	15	14	13	-2	59
11	Villa San Carlos	42	12	15	15	-5	51
12	San Martín Burzaco	42	12	15	15	-6	51
13	Argentino de Merlo	42	13	11	18	-6	50
14	Flandria	42	13	10	19	-10	49
15	Deportivo Merlo	42	11	16	15	-15	49
16	Liniers	42	11	15	16	-7	48
17	Argentino Quilmes	42	10	17	15	-8	47
18	Dock Sud	42	11	14	17	-9	47
19	Defensores Unidos	42	10	16	16	-6	46
20	Brown DE Adrogue	42	10	16	16	-12	46
21	UAI Urquiza	42	8	21	13	-10	45
22	Ituzaingó	42	1	14	27	-41	17

Team

Pts

+36

+28

+15

+19

+15

+12

-2

-5

-6

-6

-10

-15

-7

-8

-9

-6

-12

-10

-41

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Arsenal Sarandi vs Liniers?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Arsenal Sarandi vs Liniers?

On our numbers Arsenal Sarandi have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Liniers 19%.

How many goals will there be in Arsenal Sarandi vs Liniers?

We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Arsenal Sarandi vs Liniers?

Our predicted score is Arsenal Sarandi 1–0 Liniers, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.

When is Arsenal Sarandi vs Liniers?

Arsenal Sarandi vs Liniers (Primera B Metropolitana) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Julio Humberto Grondona.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Arsenal Sarandi v Liniers: numbers & prediction