Deportivo Armenio v Deportivo Merlo Prediction & Expected Goals (26 Sep) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultDeportivo Armenio to win ✓63% · @1.73

Double chanceDeportivo Armenio or draw ✓87% · @1.12

Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓56% · @1.44

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · @1.14

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓18% · fair 5.50

Deportivo Armenio vs Deportivo Merlo: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Deportivo Armenio welcome Deportivo Merlo to Armenia Stadium for a Primera B Metropolitana fixture on Saturday 26 September (19:30 WAT). In the table, Deportivo Armenio are 8th, upper half, on 63 points after 42 matches; Deportivo Merlo are 15th (lower half) with 49. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Deportivo Armenio, last 5: WWDWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Deportivo Camioneros, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Deportivo Merlo, last 5: WLDLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Flandria, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Momentum favours Deportivo Armenio, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.8 for Deportivo Merlo.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Deportivo Armenio 1.6 xG, Deportivo Merlo 0.6 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 64% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Deportivo Armenio 63%, draw 24%, Deportivo Merlo 13%.
GG/NG: NG (56%) at 1.44.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Deportivo Armenio to win (63%, odds 1.73 – longer than our fair 1.59, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Deportivo Armenio 1–0 Deportivo Merlo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Deportivo Armenio63%fair 1.59 · @1.73

Draw24%fair 4.09 · @3.10

Deportivo Merlo13%fair 7.84 · @4.50

2.18Expected goals

1.61Deportivo Armenio xG

0.57Deportivo Merlo xG

44%Both score

36%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–018%

2–015%

0–011%

1–110%

2–18%

3–08%

From our goals model: Deportivo Armenio 1.6 – 0.6 Deportivo Merlo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Deportivo Armenio to win ✓	63%	1.59	1.73 ▲
Double chance	Deportivo Armenio or draw ✓	87%	1.15	1.12
Both teams to score	Not both teams to score ✓	56%	1.78	1.44
Draw no bet	Deportivo Armenio (draw no bet) ✓	83%	1.20	–
Asian handicap	Deportivo Armenio -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	63%	1.59	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✗	62%	1.60	1.53
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✓	64%	1.57	1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	82%	1.22	1.14
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	91%	1.10	1.04
First team to score	Deportivo Armenio to score first ✓	66%	1.53	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	45%	2.20	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Deportivo Armenio / FT Deportivo Armenio ✓	39%	2.58	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–0 ✓	18%	5.50	–

Deportivo Armenio – last 6

WWDWLL

19 Sep	@ Deportivo Camioneros	2–1	W
12 Sep	vs Sportivo Italiano	1–0	W
5 Sep	@ San Martín Burzaco	0–0	D
30 Aug	vs Villa San Carlos	1–0	W
26 Aug	@ Liniers	1–3	L
22 Aug	vs Real Pilar	0–1	L

0.8Scored / game

0.8Conceded / game

33%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

Deportivo Merlo – last 6

WLDLLD

20 Sep	vs Flandria	2–1	W
13 Sep	@ Argentino Quilmes	0–1	L
5 Sep	vs Defensores Unidos	0–0	D
31 Aug	@ Comunicaciones	0–1	L
26 Aug	vs Dock Sud	1–2	L
22 Aug	@ Ituzaingó	0–0	D

0.5Scored / game

0.8Conceded / game

33%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Excursionistas	42	24	9	9	+36	81
2	Arsenal Sarandi	42	21	14	7	+28	77
3	Sportivo Italiano	42	20	12	10	+15	72
4	Talleres Remedios	42	20	11	11	+19	71
5	Deportivo Camioneros	42	19	13	10	+15	70
6	Villa Dalmine	42	18	14	10	+12	68
7	Real Pilar	42	18	12	12	+4	66
8	Deportivo Armenio	42	17	12	13	+3	63
9	Comunicaciones	42	15	15	12	+5	60
10	Deportivo Laferrere	42	15	14	13	-2	59
11	Villa San Carlos	42	12	15	15	-5	51
12	San Martín Burzaco	42	12	15	15	-6	51
13	Argentino de Merlo	42	13	11	18	-6	50
14	Flandria	42	13	10	19	-10	49
15	Deportivo Merlo	42	11	16	15	-15	49
16	Liniers	42	11	15	16	-7	48
17	Argentino Quilmes	42	10	17	15	-8	47
18	Dock Sud	42	11	14	17	-9	47
19	Defensores Unidos	42	10	16	16	-6	46
20	Brown DE Adrogue	42	10	16	16	-12	46
21	UAI Urquiza	42	8	21	13	-10	45
22	Ituzaingó	42	1	14	27	-41	17

Team

Pts

+36

+28

+15

+19

+15

+12

-2

-5

-6

-6

-10

-15

-7

-8

-9

-6

-12

-10

-41

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Deportivo Armenio vs Deportivo Merlo?

Our pick is Deportivo Armenio to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.

Who will win Deportivo Armenio vs Deportivo Merlo?

On our numbers Deportivo Armenio have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Deportivo Merlo 13%.

How many goals will there be in Deportivo Armenio vs Deportivo Merlo?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Deportivo Armenio vs Deportivo Merlo?

Our predicted score is Deportivo Armenio 1–0 Deportivo Merlo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Deportivo Armenio vs Deportivo Merlo?

Deportivo Armenio vs Deportivo Merlo (Primera B Metropolitana) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Armenia Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Deportivo Armenio v Deportivo Merlo: numbers & prediction