Deportivo Laferrere 38%Draw 24%Sportivo Italiano 38%Expected goals 1.07 – 1.08
63%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.20 – our chance 51% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultSportivo Italiano to win ✓38% · @2.60
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @2.20
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓7% · fair 13.74
Deportivo Laferrere vs Sportivo Italiano: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 26 September the Primera B Metropolitana brings Deportivo Laferrere against Sportivo Italiano at Ciudad de Laferrere Stadium. Kick-off: 19:00 WAT. In the table, Deportivo Laferrere are 10th, upper half, on 59 points after 42 matches; Sportivo Italiano are 3rd (among the top four) with 72. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Deportivo Laferrere, last 5: LDDDW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to San Martín Burzaco, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Sportivo Italiano, last 5: DLWWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Brown DE Adrogue, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Head to head
When they last met (18 May 2026) it ended Sportivo Italiano 1–1 Deportivo Laferrere.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Deportivo Laferrere 1.1 xG, Sportivo Italiano 1.1 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 64%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Deportivo Laferrere 38%, draw 24%, Sportivo Italiano 38%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.20.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.20 – the bookmaker implies 45%, our ratings say 51%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (63%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Deportivo Laferrere 1–1 Sportivo Italiano. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Deportivo Laferrere38%fair 2.67 · @2.60
Draw24%fair 4.09 · @2.88
Sportivo Italiano38%fair 2.63 · @2.60
2.15Expected goals
1.07Deportivo Laferrere xG
1.08Sportivo Italiano xG
51%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–113%
1–012%
0–012%
1–27%
2–17%
From our goals model: Deportivo Laferrere 1.1 – 1.1 Sportivo Italiano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Deportivo Laferrere vs Sportivo Italiano?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Deportivo Laferrere vs Sportivo Italiano?
On our numbers Deportivo Laferrere have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Sportivo Italiano 38%.
How many goals will there be in Deportivo Laferrere vs Sportivo Italiano?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportivo Laferrere vs Sportivo Italiano?
Our predicted score is Deportivo Laferrere 1–1 Sportivo Italiano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Deportivo Laferrere vs Sportivo Italiano?
Deportivo Laferrere vs Sportivo Italiano (Primera B Metropolitana) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Ciudad de Laferrere Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
