Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.91 – our chance 58% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultGermany to win ✓67% · @1.15
Double chanceGermany or draw ✓85% · @1.03
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.91
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓72% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.82
Germany vs Finland: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Finland travel to face Germany on Sunday 31 May in the Friendlies, with MEWA Arena the venue – the ball rolls at 19:45 WAT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Germany 2.4 xG, Finland 1.3 xG – a total near 3.7. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 72% and GG at 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Germany 67%, draw 18%, Finland 15%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.91.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 58%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (72%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Germany 2–1 Finland. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Germany67%fair 1.49 · @1.15
Draw18%fair 5.44 · @7.60
Finland15%fair 6.87 · @15.00
3.70Expected goals
2.38Germany xG
1.32Finland xG
58%Both score
72%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
2–07%
2–26%
1–06%
From our goals model: Germany 2.4 – 1.3 Finland expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Germany
Finland
Attack vs Friendlies average
+23%
-7%
Goals conceded vs average
-8%
+11%
Our expected goals here
1.53
1.15
Our own ratings from every Friendlies result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Germany to win✓
67%
1.49
1.15
Double chance
Germany or draw✓
85%
1.17
1.03
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.72
1.91 ▲
Draw no bet
Germany (draw no bet)✓
82%
1.22
–
Asian handicap
Germany -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
1.08
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.30
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
52%
1.94
1.80
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
1.42
First team to score
Germany to score first✓
63%
1.60
–
Half-time result
Germany ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Germany / FT Germany✓
40%
2.52
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.82
–
Recent results
Germany – last 2
WW
30 Mar
vs Ghana
2–1
W
27 Mar
@ Switzerland
4–3
W
3.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Finland – last 1
W
27 Mar
@ New Zealand
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Germany and Finland.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Germany vs Finland?
On our numbers Germany have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Finland 15%.
How many goals will there be in Germany vs Finland?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Germany vs Finland?
Our predicted score is Germany 2–1 Finland, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is Germany vs Finland?
Germany vs Finland (Friendlies) kicks off on Sunday 31 May 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at MEWA Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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