Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.40 – our chance 56% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +34%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultSaudi Arabia to win ✗41% · @1.49
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · fair 1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @2.40
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.52
Ecuador vs Saudi Arabia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
01:00 WAT, Sunday 31 May: Ecuador v Saudi Arabia in the Friendlies, played at Sports Illustrated Stadium.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ecuador 1.4 xG, Saudi Arabia 1.3 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ecuador 34%, draw 25%, Saudi Arabia 41%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 2.40.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.40 – the bookmaker implies 42%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ecuador 1–1 Saudi Arabia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ecuador34%fair 2.92 · @7.30
Draw25%fair 4.07 · @3.80
Saudi Arabia41%fair 2.43 · @1.49
2.65Expected goals
1.36Ecuador xG
1.29Saudi Arabia xG
56%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Ecuador 1.4 – 1.3 Saudi Arabia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Ecuador
Saudi Arabia
Attack vs Friendlies average
-5%
-5%
Goals conceded vs average
+3%
-1%
Our expected goals here
1.61
1.18
Our own ratings from every Friendlies result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Saudi Arabia to win✗
41%
2.43
1.49
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.79
2.40 ▲
Draw no bet
Saudi Arabia (draw no bet)✗
55%
1.83
–
Asian handicap
Saudi Arabia +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.84
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
1.06
First team to score
Ecuador to score first✓
48%
2.10
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ecuador / FT Ecuador✓
22%
4.46
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.52
–
Recent results
Ecuador – last 2
DD
31 Mar
@ Netherlands
1–1
D
27 Mar
@ Morocco
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Saudi Arabia – last 2
LL
31 Mar
@ Serbia
1–2
L
27 Mar
vs Egypt
0–4
L
0.5Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ecuador and Saudi Arabia.
What is the prediction for Ecuador vs Saudi Arabia?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Ecuador vs Saudi Arabia?
On our numbers Ecuador have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Saudi Arabia 41%.
How many goals will there be in Ecuador vs Saudi Arabia?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ecuador vs Saudi Arabia?
Our predicted score is Ecuador 1–1 Saudi Arabia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Ecuador vs Saudi Arabia?
Ecuador vs Saudi Arabia (Friendlies) kicks off on Sunday 31 May 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Sports Illustrated Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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