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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Cape Verde Islands v Serbia: numbers & prediction

Friendlies · World · Estádio do Restelo

Cape Verde Islands

L
3–0
FT

Serbia

WL
Cape Verde Islands 38%Draw 34%Serbia 28% Expected goals 1.69 – 1.17
72%
Betarazi pick

Cape Verde Islands or draw

Strong pick · fair odds 1.39 · bookmaker 1.60 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.60Odds
X

Value bet: Draw @ 3.45 – our chance 34% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultCape Verde Islands to win ✓38% · @2.92
Double chanceCape Verde Islands or draw ✓72% · @1.60
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.45

Cape Verde Islands vs Serbia: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 31 May the Friendlies brings Cape Verde Islands against Serbia at Estádio do Restelo. Kick-off: 16:00 WAT.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Cape Verde Islands 1.7 xG, Serbia 1.2 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Cape Verde Islands 38%, draw 34%, Serbia 28%.
  • Lower-risk option: Cape Verde Islands or draw (72%) at 1.60.
  • GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.75.
  • Price worth noting: Draw @3.45 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 34%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Cape Verde Islands or draw (72%, odds 1.60 – longer than our fair 1.39, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cape Verde Islands 1–1 Serbia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Cape Verde Islands38%fair 2.62 · @2.92
Draw34%fair 2.95 · @3.45
Serbia28%fair 3.58 · @2.28
2.87Expected goals
1.69Cape Verde Islands xG
1.17Serbia xG
58%Both score
52%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–010%
2–110%
2–08%
0–17%
1–27%

From our goals model: Cape Verde Islands 1.7 – 1.2 Serbia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Cape Verde IslandsSerbia
Attack vs Friendlies average+11%-8%
Goals conceded vs average-12%+27%
Our expected goals here1.980.99

Our own ratings from every Friendlies result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCape Verde Islands to win ✓38%2.622.92 ▲
Double chanceCape Verde Islands or draw ✓72%1.391.60 ▲
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗58%1.731.75
Draw no betCape Verde Islands (draw no bet) ✓58%1.73–
Asian handicapSerbia +1 (Asian handicap) ✗65%1.53–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75%1.331.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓52%1.941.95
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓70%1.431.30
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓85%1.181.10
First team to scoreCape Verde Islands to score first ✓56%1.80–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗40%2.48–
Half-time / full-timeHT Cape Verde Islands / FT Cape Verde Islands ✓30%3.32–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.45–

Recent results

Cape Verde Islands – last 1

L
27 Mar@ Chile2–4L
2.0Scored / game
4.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Serbia – last 2

WL
31 Marvs Saudi Arabia2–1W
27 Mar@ Spain0–3L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Cape Verde Islands and Serbia.

Cape Verde Islands vs Serbia head-to-head page →

More Friendlies predictions

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FT Mexico1 Australia0 153%1.68X26%3.75221%4.90 1.4–0.9xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 76%@1.30 ✓
FT Japan1 Iceland0 171%1.17X17%7.20212%12.50 2.1–0.8xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 61%@1.70 ✓
FT Singapore4 Mongolia0 174%1.22X16%5.40210%10.60 2.5–0.9xG 1Singapore to win 74%@1.22 ✓
FT Switzerland4 Jordan1 167%1.24X19%5.80214%11.00 2.2–1.0xG 1Switzerland to win 67%@1.24 ✓
FT Czech Republic2 Kosovo1 149%1.65X27%3.65225%5.30 1.3–1.1xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 75%@1.28 ✓
FT Poland0 Ukraine2 150%2.05X25%3.25224%3.35 1.3–0.8xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 78%@1.28 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Cape Verde Islands vs Serbia?

Our pick is Cape Verde Islands or draw with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.

Who will win Cape Verde Islands vs Serbia?

On our numbers Cape Verde Islands have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 34% and Serbia 28%.

How many goals will there be in Cape Verde Islands vs Serbia?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Cape Verde Islands vs Serbia?

Our predicted score is Cape Verde Islands 1–1 Serbia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Cape Verde Islands vs Serbia?

Cape Verde Islands vs Serbia (Friendlies) kicks off on Sunday 31 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio do Restelo.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.