Value bet: Barretos to win @ 1.95 – our chance 55% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultBarretos to win55% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win79% · fair 1.27
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score61% · fair 1.65
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals68% · @1.53
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–021% · fair 4.87
Barretos vs Tanabi: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 14 February the Paulista A4 brings Barretos against Tanabi. Kick-off: 20:00 WAT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Barretos 1.1 xG, Tanabi 0.6 xG – a total near 1.7. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Barretos 55%, draw 21%, Tanabi 24%.
Price worth noting: Barretos to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 55%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (68%, odds 1.53 – longer than our fair 1.47, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Barretos 1–0 Tanabi. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Barretos55%fair 1.82 · @1.95
Draw21%fair 4.70 · @3.10
Tanabi24%fair 4.19 · @3.60
1.71Expected goals
1.14Barretos xG
0.57Tanabi xG
39%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–021%
0–018%
1–112%
2–012%
0–110%
2–17%
From our goals model: Barretos 1.1 – 0.6 Tanabi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Barretos to win
55%
1.82
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win
79%
1.27
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
61%
1.65
–
Draw no bet
Barretos (draw no bet)
70%
1.44
–
Asian handicap
Tanabi +1 (Asian handicap)
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
51%
1.96
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
68%
1.47
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
91%
1.10
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
97%
1.03
–
First team to score
Barretos to score first
54%
1.84
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
53%
1.88
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Barretos / FT Barretos
28%
3.54
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
21%
4.87
–
Recent results
Barretos
No recent results on record.
Tanabi
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Barretos and Tanabi.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Barretos vs Tanabi?
On our numbers Barretos have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Tanabi 24%.
How many goals will there be in Barretos vs Tanabi?
We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 39% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Barretos vs Tanabi?
Our predicted score is Barretos 1–0 Tanabi, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.
When is Barretos vs Tanabi?
Barretos vs Tanabi (Paulista A4) kicks off on Saturday 14 February 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Paulista A4 · Brazil
Colorado Caieiras
Jabaquara
Joseense
São Caetano
Taquaritinga
AEA
Grêmio Sãocarlense
Comercial
EC Lemense
Inter de Bebedouro
Vocem
Nacional SP
Penapolense2
ECUS1