Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.25
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
2
Value bet: São Caetano to win @ 1.95 – our chance 58% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultSão Caetano to win58% · @1.95
Double chanceSão Caetano or draw81% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score51% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals79% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29% · fair 11.06
Joseense vs São Caetano: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Joseense welcome São Caetano for a Paulista A4 fixture on Saturday 14 February (19:00 WAT).
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Joseense 0.7 xG, São Caetano 1.6 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Joseense 19%, draw 24%, São Caetano 58%.
Lower-risk option: São Caetano or draw (81%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: São Caetano to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 58%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was São Caetano or draw (81%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Joseense 0–1 São Caetano. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Joseense19%fair 5.32 · @3.65
Draw24%fair 4.25 · @3.10
São Caetano58%fair 1.73 · @1.95
2.30Expected goals
0.75Joseense xG
1.56São Caetano xG
51%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–116%
0–212%
1–112%
0–010%
1–29%
1–07%
From our goals model: Joseense 0.7 – 1.6 São Caetano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
São Caetano to win
58%
1.73
1.95 ▲
Double chance
São Caetano or draw
81%
1.23
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
51%
1.97
2.00
Draw no bet
São Caetano (draw no bet)
75%
1.33
–
Asian handicap
Joseense +1.5 (Asian handicap)
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
66%
1.52
1.44
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
60%
1.67
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
79%
1.26
1.18
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
92%
1.09
–
First team to score
São Caetano to score first
61%
1.64
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT São Caetano / FT São Caetano
34%
2.91
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2
9%
11.06
–
Recent results
Joseense
No recent results on record.
São Caetano
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Joseense and São Caetano.
What is the prediction for Joseense vs São Caetano?
Our pick is São Caetano or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Joseense vs São Caetano?
On our numbers Joseense have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 24% and São Caetano 58%.
How many goals will there be in Joseense vs São Caetano?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Joseense vs São Caetano?
Our predicted score is Joseense 0–1 São Caetano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Joseense vs São Caetano?
Joseense vs São Caetano (Paulista A4) kicks off on Saturday 14 February 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Paulista A4 · Brazil
Colorado Caieiras
Jabaquara
Taquaritinga
AEA
Barretos
Tanabi
Grêmio Sãocarlense
Comercial
EC Lemense
Inter de Bebedouro
Vocem
Nacional SP
Penapolense2
ECUS1