Value bet: Vocem to win @ 2.55 – our chance 44% vs 39% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultVocem to win44% · @2.55
Double chanceEither team to win77% · fair 1.31
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score62% · fair 1.61
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals68% · @1.50
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–017% · fair 5.86
Vocem vs Nacional SP: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
21:00 WAT, Saturday 14 February: Vocem v Nacional SP in the Paulista A4.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Vocem 1.0 xG, Nacional SP 0.8 xG – a total near 1.8. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Vocem 44%, draw 23%, Nacional SP 32%.
Price worth noting: Vocem to win @2.55 – the bookmaker implies 39%, our ratings say 44%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (68%, odds 1.50 – longer than our fair 1.46, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Vocem 0–0 Nacional SP. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Vocem44%fair 2.25 · @2.55
Draw23%fair 4.27 · @3.00
Nacional SP32%fair 3.12 · @2.60
1.76Expected goals
0.99Vocem xG
0.77Nacional SP xG
38%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–017%
1–017%
0–113%
1–113%
2–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Vocem 1.0 – 0.8 Nacional SP expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Vocem to win
44%
2.25
2.55 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win
77%
1.31
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
62%
1.61
–
Draw no bet
Vocem (draw no bet)
58%
1.72
–
Asian handicap
Nacional SP +0.5 (Asian handicap)
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
53%
1.90
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
68%
1.46
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
90%
1.11
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
97%
1.03
–
First team to score
Vocem to score first
47%
2.14
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
53%
1.88
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw
25%
4.02
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
17%
5.86
–
Recent results
Vocem
No recent results on record.
Nacional SP
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Vocem and Nacional SP.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Vocem vs Nacional SP?
On our numbers Vocem have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Nacional SP 32%.
How many goals will there be in Vocem vs Nacional SP?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 38% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vocem vs Nacional SP?
Our predicted score is Vocem 0–0 Nacional SP, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Vocem vs Nacional SP?
Vocem vs Nacional SP (Paulista A4) kicks off on Saturday 14 February 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Paulista A4 · Brazil
Colorado Caieiras
Jabaquara
Joseense
São Caetano
Taquaritinga
AEA
Barretos
Tanabi
Grêmio Sãocarlense
Comercial
EC Lemense
Inter de Bebedouro
Penapolense2
ECUS1