Good pick · fair odds 1.68 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.57Odds
Picks by market
ResultPenapolense to win ✓54% · @1.57
Double chancePenapolense or draw ✓79% · fair 1.27
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · fair 1.82
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.14
Penapolense vs ECUS: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
ECUS travel to face Penapolense on Saturday 14 February in the Paulista A4 – the ball rolls at 23:30 WAT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Penapolense 1.4 xG, ECUS 0.9 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 45%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Penapolense 54%, draw 25%, ECUS 21%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (59%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Penapolense 1–0 ECUS. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Penapolense54%fair 1.87 · @1.57
Draw25%fair 3.98 · @3.60
ECUS21%fair 4.69 · @5.00
2.32Expected goals
1.43Penapolense xG
0.89ECUS xG
45%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–113%
2–010%
0–010%
2–19%
0–19%
From our goals model: Penapolense 1.4 – 0.9 ECUS expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Penapolense to win✓
54%
1.87
1.57
Double chance
Penapolense or draw✓
79%
1.27
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
55%
1.82
–
Draw no bet
Penapolense (draw no bet)✓
72%
1.40
–
Asian handicap
ECUS +1 (Asian handicap)
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.48
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.68
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.09
–
First team to score
Penapolense to score first✓
56%
1.80
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Penapolense / FT Penapolense✓
29%
3.40
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.14
–
Recent results
Penapolense
No recent results on record.
ECUS
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Penapolense and ECUS.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Penapolense vs ECUS?
On our numbers Penapolense have a 54% chance of winning, the draw 25% and ECUS 21%.
How many goals will there be in Penapolense vs ECUS?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Penapolense vs ECUS?
Our predicted score is Penapolense 1–0 ECUS, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Penapolense vs ECUS?
Penapolense vs ECUS (Paulista A4) kicks off on Saturday 14 February 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Paulista A4 · Brazil
Colorado Caieiras
Jabaquara
Joseense
São Caetano
Taquaritinga
AEA
Barretos
Tanabi
Grêmio Sãocarlense
Comercial
EC Lemense
Inter de Bebedouro
Vocem
Nacional SP