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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Joseense v AEA: numbers & prediction

Paulista A4 · Brazil

AEA

Joseense 48%Draw 24%AEA 28% Expected goals 1.16 – 0.78

67%

Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.42 · Won ✓

6/10Rating

1.42Odds

Picks by market

ResultJoseense to win ✓48% · @2.05

Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.30

Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.55

GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓67% · @1.42

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 6.00

Joseense vs AEA: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

AEA travel to face Joseense on Wednesday 25 February in the Paulista A4 – the ball rolls at 19:00 WAT.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Joseense 1.2 xG, AEA 0.8 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 67%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Joseense 48%, draw 24%, AEA 28%.
GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.55.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (67%, odds 1.42). Most likely score in line with that pick: Joseense 1–0 AEA. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Joseense48%fair 2.09 · @2.05

Draw24%fair 4.13 · @2.95

AEA28%fair 3.58 · @3.55

1.94Expected goals

1.16Joseense xG

0.78AEA xG

47%Both score

33%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–017%

0–014%

1–113%

0–111%

2–010%

2–18%

From our goals model: Joseense 1.2 – 0.8 AEA expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Joseense to win ✓	48%	2.09	2.05
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	76%	1.32	1.30
Both teams to score	Not both teams to score ✓	53%	1.88	1.55
Draw no bet	Joseense (draw no bet) ✓	63%	1.58	–
Asian handicap	AEA +1 (Asian handicap) ✗	74%	1.35	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	59%	1.70	1.55
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✓	67%	1.48	1.42
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	87%	1.15	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	95%	1.05	–
First team to score	Joseense to score first ✓	51%	1.95	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	50%	1.98	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Joseense / FT Joseense ✓	25%	3.93	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–0 ✗	17%	6.00	–

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Joseense and AEA.

Joseense vs AEA head-to-head page →

More Paulista A4 predictions

Colorado Caieiras1

Comercial2 151%2.05X23%3.10226%3.45 1.1–0.6xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 71%@1.42 ✗

Jabaquara0

Barretos1 125%3.30X25%2.88251%2.25 0.6–1.1xG X2Barretos or draw 75%@1.30 ✓

Nacional SP0

EC Lemense1 125%3.20X23%3.10251%2.15 0.7–1.2xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 67%@1.45 ✓

São Caetano0

ECUS0 142%1.80X26%3.00231%4.60 1.0–1.1xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 63%@1.50 ✗

Taquaritinga3

Penapolense0 135%2.62X25%2.90240%2.70 1.0–1.1xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 63%@1.50 ✓

Grêmio Sãocarlense2

Tanabi1 159%1.85X26%3.10215%4.20 1.4–0.6xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 65%@1.50 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Joseense vs AEA?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.

Who will win Joseense vs AEA?

On our numbers Joseense have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 24% and AEA 28%.

How many goals will there be in Joseense vs AEA?

We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Joseense vs AEA?

Our predicted score is Joseense 1–0 AEA, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.

When is Joseense vs AEA?

Joseense vs AEA (Paulista A4) kicks off on Wednesday 25 February 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.