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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Jabaquara v Barretos: numbers & prediction

Paulista A4 · Brazil
Jabaquara 25%Draw 25%Barretos 51% Expected goals 0.64 – 1.12
75%
Betarazi pick

Barretos or draw

Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.30Odds
2

Value bet: Barretos to win @ 2.25 – our chance 51% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultBarretos to win ✓51% · @2.25
Double chanceBarretos or draw ✓75% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.60
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓70% · @1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓19% · fair 5.17

Jabaquara vs Barretos: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Barretos travel to face Jabaquara on Wednesday 25 February in the Paulista A4 – the ball rolls at 19:00 WAT.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Jabaquara 0.6 xG, Barretos 1.1 xG – a total near 1.8. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 70%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Jabaquara 25%, draw 25%, Barretos 51%.
  • Lower-risk option: Barretos or draw (75%) at 1.30.
  • GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.60.
  • Price worth noting: Barretos to win @2.25 – the bookmaker implies 44%, our ratings say 51%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Barretos or draw (75%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Jabaquara 0–1 Barretos. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Jabaquara25%fair 4.07 · @3.30
Draw25%fair 4.04 · @2.88
Barretos51%fair 1.97 · @2.25
1.75Expected goals
0.64Jabaquara xG
1.12Barretos xG
49%Both score
30%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–119%
0–017%
1–112%
1–011%
0–211%
1–27%

From our goals model: Jabaquara 0.6 – 1.1 Barretos expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBarretos to win ✓51%1.972.25 ▲
Double chanceBarretos or draw ✓75%1.331.30
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓51%1.971.60
Draw no betBarretos (draw no bet) ✓67%1.48–
Asian handicapJabaquara +1 (Asian handicap)73%1.38–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗56%1.781.55
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓70%1.441.44
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓90%1.11–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓97%1.03–
First team to scoreBarretos to score first ✓53%1.90–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓53%1.89–
Half-time / full-timeHT Barretos / FT Barretos ✗27%3.74–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓19%5.17–

Recent results

Jabaquara

No recent results on record.

Barretos

No recent results on record.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Jabaquara and Barretos.

Jabaquara vs Barretos head-to-head page →

More Paulista A4 predictions

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Jabaquara vs Barretos?

Our pick is Barretos or draw with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Jabaquara vs Barretos?

On our numbers Jabaquara have a 25% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Barretos 51%.

How many goals will there be in Jabaquara vs Barretos?

We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 30% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Jabaquara vs Barretos?

Our predicted score is Jabaquara 0–1 Barretos, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.

When is Jabaquara vs Barretos?

Jabaquara vs Barretos (Paulista A4) kicks off on Wednesday 25 February 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.