Value bet: Barretos to win @ 2.25 – our chance 51% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultBarretos to win ✓51% · @2.25
Double chanceBarretos or draw ✓75% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.60
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓70% · @1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓19% · fair 5.17
Jabaquara vs Barretos: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Barretos travel to face Jabaquara on Wednesday 25 February in the Paulista A4 – the ball rolls at 19:00 WAT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Jabaquara 0.6 xG, Barretos 1.1 xG – a total near 1.8. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 70%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Jabaquara 25%, draw 25%, Barretos 51%.
Lower-risk option: Barretos or draw (75%) at 1.30.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.60.
Price worth noting: Barretos to win @2.25 – the bookmaker implies 44%, our ratings say 51%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Barretos or draw (75%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Jabaquara 0–1 Barretos. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Jabaquara25%fair 4.07 · @3.30
Draw25%fair 4.04 · @2.88
Barretos51%fair 1.97 · @2.25
1.75Expected goals
0.64Jabaquara xG
1.12Barretos xG
49%Both score
30%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–119%
0–017%
1–112%
1–011%
0–211%
1–27%
From our goals model: Jabaquara 0.6 – 1.1 Barretos expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Barretos to win✓
51%
1.97
2.25 ▲
Double chance
Barretos or draw✓
75%
1.33
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.97
1.60
Draw no bet
Barretos (draw no bet)✓
67%
1.48
–
Asian handicap
Jabaquara +1 (Asian handicap)
73%
1.38
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
56%
1.78
1.55
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
70%
1.44
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
97%
1.03
–
First team to score
Barretos to score first✓
53%
1.90
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
53%
1.89
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Barretos / FT Barretos✗
27%
3.74
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✓
19%
5.17
–
Recent results
Jabaquara
No recent results on record.
Barretos
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Jabaquara and Barretos.
Our pick is Barretos or draw with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Jabaquara vs Barretos?
On our numbers Jabaquara have a 25% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Barretos 51%.
How many goals will there be in Jabaquara vs Barretos?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 30% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Jabaquara vs Barretos?
Our predicted score is Jabaquara 0–1 Barretos, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Jabaquara vs Barretos?
Jabaquara vs Barretos (Paulista A4) kicks off on Wednesday 25 February 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.