Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
2
Value bet: Penapolense to win @ 2.70 – our chance 40% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultPenapolense to win ✗40% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · @1.65
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.77
Taquaritinga vs Penapolense: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Taquaritinga welcome Penapolense for a Paulista A4 fixture on Wednesday 25 February (19:00 WAT).
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Taquaritinga 1.0 xG, Penapolense 1.1 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 63%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Taquaritinga 35%, draw 25%, Penapolense 40%.
GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.65.
Price worth noting: Penapolense to win @2.70 – the bookmaker implies 37%, our ratings say 40%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (63%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Taquaritinga 1–1 Penapolense. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Taquaritinga35%fair 2.82 · @2.62
Draw25%fair 4.07 · @2.90
Penapolense40%fair 2.50 · @2.70
2.17Expected goals
1.04Taquaritinga xG
1.13Penapolense xG
50%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–113%
1–012%
0–011%
1–28%
0–27%
From our goals model: Taquaritinga 1.0 – 1.1 Penapolense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Penapolense to win✗
40%
2.50
2.70 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
50%
1.99
1.65
Draw no bet
Penapolense (draw no bet)✗
53%
1.89
–
Asian handicap
Taquaritinga +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
1.50
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
63%
1.58
1.45
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.21
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.07
–
First team to score
Penapolense to score first✗
46%
2.17
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.10
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Penapolense / FT Penapolense✗
21%
4.72
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
13%
7.77
–
Recent results
Taquaritinga
No recent results on record.
Penapolense – last 1
W
14 Feb
vs ECUS
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Taquaritinga and Penapolense.
What is the prediction for Taquaritinga vs Penapolense?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Taquaritinga vs Penapolense?
On our numbers Taquaritinga have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Penapolense 40%.
How many goals will there be in Taquaritinga vs Penapolense?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Taquaritinga vs Penapolense?
Our predicted score is Taquaritinga 1–1 Penapolense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Taquaritinga vs Penapolense?
Taquaritinga vs Penapolense (Paulista A4) kicks off on Wednesday 25 February 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Paulista A4 · Brazil
Joseense2
AEA0
Colorado Caieiras1
Comercial2
Jabaquara0
Barretos1
Nacional SP0
EC Lemense1
São Caetano0
ECUS0
Grêmio Sãocarlense2
Tanabi1