Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
1
Value bet: Grêmio Sãocarlense to win @ 1.85 – our chance 59% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultGrêmio Sãocarlense to win ✓59% · @1.85
Double chanceGrêmio Sãocarlense or draw ✓85% · @1.15
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19% · fair 5.13
Grêmio Sãocarlense vs Tanabi: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Tanabi travel to face Grêmio Sãocarlense on Wednesday 25 February in the Paulista A4 – the ball rolls at 23:00 WAT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Grêmio Sãocarlense 1.4 xG, Tanabi 0.6 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 65%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Grêmio Sãocarlense 59%, draw 26%, Tanabi 15%.
Lower-risk option: Grêmio Sãocarlense or draw (85%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: NG (54%) at 1.62.
Price worth noting: Grêmio Sãocarlense to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 59%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (65%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Grêmio Sãocarlense 1–0 Tanabi. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Grêmio Sãocarlense59%fair 1.68 · @1.85
Draw26%fair 3.87 · @3.10
Tanabi15%fair 6.81 · @4.20
2.00Expected goals
1.45Grêmio Sãocarlense xG
0.56Tanabi xG
46%Both score
35%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–019%
2–014%
0–013%
1–111%
2–18%
0–18%
From our goals model: Grêmio Sãocarlense 1.4 – 0.6 Tanabi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Grêmio Sãocarlense to win✓
59%
1.68
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Grêmio Sãocarlense or draw✓
85%
1.17
1.15
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
54%
1.85
1.62
Draw no bet
Grêmio Sãocarlense (draw no bet)✓
80%
1.25
–
Asian handicap
Tanabi +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.44
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
1.48
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
65%
1.54
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.21
1.17
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
95%
1.06
–
First team to score
Grêmio Sãocarlense to score first
62%
1.60
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.08
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Grêmio Sãocarlense / FT Grêmio Sãocarlense✗
36%
2.82
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
19%
5.13
–
Recent results
Grêmio Sãocarlense
No recent results on record.
Tanabi
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Grêmio Sãocarlense and Tanabi.
What is the prediction for Grêmio Sãocarlense vs Tanabi?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Grêmio Sãocarlense vs Tanabi?
On our numbers Grêmio Sãocarlense have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Tanabi 15%.
How many goals will there be in Grêmio Sãocarlense vs Tanabi?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Grêmio Sãocarlense vs Tanabi?
Our predicted score is Grêmio Sãocarlense 1–0 Tanabi, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Grêmio Sãocarlense vs Tanabi?
Grêmio Sãocarlense vs Tanabi (Paulista A4) kicks off on Wednesday 25 February 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Paulista A4 · Brazil
Joseense2
AEA0
Colorado Caieiras1
Comercial2
Jabaquara0
Barretos1
Nacional SP0
EC Lemense1
São Caetano0
ECUS0
Taquaritinga3
Penapolense0