Value bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 2.05 – our chance 53% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultUSA to win ✓41% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.79
USA vs Senegal: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
USA welcome Senegal to Bank of America Stadium for a Friendlies fixture on Sunday 31 May (20:30 WAT).
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give USA 1.7 xG, Senegal 1.4 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 53% and GG at 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – USA 41%, draw 25%, Senegal 35%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: Over 2.5 goals @2.05 – the bookmaker implies 49%, our ratings say 53%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.35). Most likely score in line with that pick: USA 1–1 Senegal. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
USA41%fair 2.46 · @2.50
Draw25%fair 4.05 · @3.20
Senegal35%fair 2.88 · @2.60
3.10Expected goals
1.74USA xG
1.36Senegal xG
59%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–08%
1–27%
2–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: USA 1.7 – 1.4 Senegal expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
USA
Senegal
Attack vs Friendlies average
+37%
+1%
Goals conceded vs average
-5%
-19%
Our expected goals here
1.90
1.17
Our own ratings from every Friendlies result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
USA to win✓
41%
2.46
2.50
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.70
1.80 ▲
Draw no bet
USA (draw no bet)✓
54%
1.86
–
Asian handicap
Senegal +1 (Asian handicap)
68%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.90
2.05 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
69%
1.46
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
80%
1.25
–
First team to score
USA to score first
54%
1.87
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
39%
2.58
–
Half-time / full-time
HT USA / FT USA✓
28%
3.54
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.79
–
Recent results
USA – last 1
L
1 Apr
vs Portugal
0–2
L
0.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Senegal – last 1
W
31 Mar
vs Gambia
3–1
W
3.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between USA and Senegal.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win USA vs Senegal?
On our numbers USA have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Senegal 35%.
How many goals will there be in USA vs Senegal?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for USA vs Senegal?
Our predicted score is USA 1–1 Senegal, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is USA vs Senegal?
USA vs Senegal (Friendlies) kicks off on Sunday 31 May 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Bank of America Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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