Value bet: Yokohama F. Marinos to win @ 2.38 – our chance 46% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultYokohama F. Marinos to win ✓46% · @2.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.37
Yokohama F. Marinos vs Tokyo Verdy: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
05:00 WAT, Saturday 28 February: Yokohama F. Marinos v Tokyo Verdy in the J1 League, played at Nissan Stadium. In the table, Yokohama F. Marinos are 7th, lower half, on 20 points after 18 matches; Tokyo Verdy are 5th (upper half) with 28.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Yokohama F. Marinos 1.7 xG, Tokyo Verdy 1.0 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Yokohama F. Marinos 46%, draw 26%, Tokyo Verdy 28%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Yokohama F. Marinos to win @2.38 – the bookmaker implies 42%, our ratings say 46%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (69%, odds 1.50 – longer than our fair 1.45, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Yokohama F. Marinos 1–1 Tokyo Verdy. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Yokohama F. Marinos46%fair 2.19 · @2.38
Draw26%fair 3.79 · @3.00
Tokyo Verdy28%fair 3.58 · @3.20
2.71Expected goals
1.67Yokohama F. Marinos xG
1.04Tokyo Verdy xG
54%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–011%
2–110%
2–09%
0–17%
0–07%
From our goals model: Yokohama F. Marinos 1.7 – 1.0 Tokyo Verdy expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Yokohama F. Marinos to win✓
46%
2.19
2.38 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.36
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.86
2.00 ▲
Draw no bet
Yokohama F. Marinos (draw no bet)✓
62%
1.61
–
Asian handicap
Tokyo Verdy +1 (Asian handicap)
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.50
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.78
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
76%
1.31
1.17
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
88%
1.14
1.05
First team to score
Yokohama F. Marinos to score first✓
57%
1.74
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.41
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Yokohama F. Marinos / FT Yokohama F. Marinos✓
32%
3.16
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.37
–
Recent results
Yokohama F. Marinos – last 2
LL
21 Feb
vs Urawa
0–2
L
14 Feb
@ Kashima
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Tokyo Verdy – last 1
W
15 Feb
@ Kashiwa Reysol
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Yokohama F. Marinos and Tokyo Verdy.
What is the prediction for Yokohama F. Marinos vs Tokyo Verdy?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Yokohama F. Marinos vs Tokyo Verdy?
On our numbers Yokohama F. Marinos have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Tokyo Verdy 28%.
How many goals will there be in Yokohama F. Marinos vs Tokyo Verdy?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Yokohama F. Marinos vs Tokyo Verdy?
Our predicted score is Yokohama F. Marinos 1–1 Tokyo Verdy, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Yokohama F. Marinos vs Tokyo Verdy?
Yokohama F. Marinos vs Tokyo Verdy (J1 League) kicks off on Saturday 28 February 2026 at 05:00 (West Africa Time) at Nissan Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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