Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Gamba Osaka to win @ 1.90 – our chance 58% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultGamba Osaka to win ✗58% · @1.90
Double chanceGamba Osaka or draw ✓81% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.49
Gamba Osaka vs Shimizu S-pulse: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Shimizu S-pulse travel to face Gamba Osaka on Saturday 28 February in the J1 League, with Panasonic Stadium Suita the venue – the ball rolls at 07:00 WAT. In the table, Gamba Osaka are 5th, upper half, on 28 points after 18 matches; Shimizu S-pulse are 7th (lower half) with 24.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Gamba Osaka 1.7 xG, Shimizu S-pulse 0.8 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Gamba Osaka 58%, draw 23%, Shimizu S-pulse 19%.
Lower-risk option: Gamba Osaka or draw (81%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: Gamba Osaka to win @1.90 – the bookmaker implies 53%, our ratings say 58%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Gamba Osaka or draw (81%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gamba Osaka 1–0 Shimizu S-pulse. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Gamba Osaka58%fair 1.73 · @1.90
Draw23%fair 4.30 · @3.60
Shimizu S-pulse19%fair 5.30 · @3.80
2.52Expected goals
1.68Gamba Osaka xG
0.84Shimizu S-pulse xG
57%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
0–08%
0–17%
From our goals model: Gamba Osaka 1.7 – 0.8 Shimizu S-pulse expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gamba Osaka to win✗
58%
1.73
1.90 ▲
Double chance
Gamba Osaka or draw✓
81%
1.23
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.76
1.67
Draw no bet
Gamba Osaka (draw no bet)
75%
1.33
–
Asian handicap
Shimizu S-pulse +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.97
2.00
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
72%
1.39
1.38
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
1.13
First team to score
Gamba Osaka to score first✓
61%
1.63
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gamba Osaka / FT Gamba Osaka✗
35%
2.83
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.49
–
Recent results
Gamba Osaka – last 2
WW
22 Feb
@ Fagiano Okayama
2–1
W
19 Feb
vs Pohang Steelers
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Shimizu S-pulse – last 2
WD
21 Feb
vs Vissel Kobe
1–0
W
14 Feb
vs Kyoto Sanga
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gamba Osaka and Shimizu S-pulse.
What is the prediction for Gamba Osaka vs Shimizu S-pulse?
Our pick is Gamba Osaka or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Gamba Osaka vs Shimizu S-pulse?
On our numbers Gamba Osaka have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Shimizu S-pulse 19%.
How many goals will there be in Gamba Osaka vs Shimizu S-pulse?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gamba Osaka vs Shimizu S-pulse?
Our predicted score is Gamba Osaka 1–0 Shimizu S-pulse, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Gamba Osaka vs Shimizu S-pulse?
Gamba Osaka vs Shimizu S-pulse (J1 League) kicks off on Saturday 28 February 2026 at 07:00 (West Africa Time) at Panasonic Stadium Suita.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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