V-varen Nagasaki vs Cerezo Osaka: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
V-varen Nagasaki welcome Cerezo Osaka to Peace Stadium for a J1 League fixture on Saturday 28 February (09:00 WAT). In the table, V-varen Nagasaki are 9th, in the drop zone, on 21 points after 18 matches; Cerezo Osaka are 2nd (among the top four) with 31.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give V-varen Nagasaki 1.3 xG, Cerezo Osaka 1.5 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – V-varen Nagasaki 35%, draw 25%, Cerezo Osaka 40%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.60.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: V-varen Nagasaki 1–1 Cerezo Osaka. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
V-varen Nagasaki35%fair 2.88 · @2.60
Draw25%fair 3.94 · @3.35
Cerezo Osaka40%fair 2.51 · @2.60
2.78Expected goals
1.32V-varen Nagasaki xG
1.46Cerezo Osaka xG
59%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–27%
From our goals model: V-varen Nagasaki 1.3 – 1.5 Cerezo Osaka expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cerezo Osaka to win✗
40%
2.51
2.60
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.34
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.69
1.60
Draw no bet
Cerezo Osaka (draw no bet)✗
53%
1.87
–
Asian handicap
V-varen Nagasaki +1 (Asian handicap)✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
75%
1.33
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.90
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.38
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
1.13
First team to score
Cerezo Osaka to score first✗
49%
2.03
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.41
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cerezo Osaka / FT Cerezo Osaka✗
24%
4.21
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.47
–
Recent results
V-varen Nagasaki – last 2
WL
21 Feb
@ Nagoya Grampus
3–1
W
13 Feb
@ Vissel Kobe
0–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Cerezo Osaka – last 2
LW
22 Feb
vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1–2
L
15 Feb
@ Avispa Fukuoka
2–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between V-varen Nagasaki and Cerezo Osaka.
What is the prediction for V-varen Nagasaki vs Cerezo Osaka?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win V-varen Nagasaki vs Cerezo Osaka?
On our numbers V-varen Nagasaki have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Cerezo Osaka 40%.
How many goals will there be in V-varen Nagasaki vs Cerezo Osaka?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for V-varen Nagasaki vs Cerezo Osaka?
Our predicted score is V-varen Nagasaki 1–1 Cerezo Osaka, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is V-varen Nagasaki vs Cerezo Osaka?
V-varen Nagasaki vs Cerezo Osaka (J1 League) kicks off on Saturday 28 February 2026 at 09:00 (West Africa Time) at Peace Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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