FC Tokyo 45%Draw 24%Kashiwa Reysol 30%Expected goals 1.85 – 1.24
78%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: FC Tokyo to win @ 2.60 – our chance 45% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultFC Tokyo to win ✗45% · @2.60
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.35
FC Tokyo vs Kashiwa Reysol: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
FC Tokyo welcome Kashiwa Reysol to Ajinomoto Stadium for a J1 League fixture on Saturday 28 February (07:00 WAT). In the table, FC Tokyo are 2nd, among the top four, on 37 points after 18 matches; Kashiwa Reysol are 8th (in the drop zone) with 20. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give FC Tokyo 1.9 xG, Kashiwa Reysol 1.2 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 56% and GG at 64%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – FC Tokyo 45%, draw 24%, Kashiwa Reysol 30%.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.57.
Price worth noting: FC Tokyo to win @2.60 – the bookmaker implies 38%, our ratings say 45%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: FC Tokyo 1–1 Kashiwa Reysol. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
FC Tokyo45%fair 2.20 · @2.60
Draw24%fair 4.09 · @3.30
Kashiwa Reysol30%fair 3.31 · @2.60
3.09Expected goals
1.85FC Tokyo xG
1.24Kashiwa Reysol xG
64%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–110%
1–08%
2–08%
1–26%
2–26%
From our goals model: FC Tokyo 1.9 – 1.2 Kashiwa Reysol expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC Tokyo to win✗
45%
2.20
2.60 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
64%
1.57
1.57
Draw no bet
FC Tokyo (draw no bet)✗
60%
1.67
–
Asian handicap
Kashiwa Reysol +1 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.78
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
1.40
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.14
First team to score
FC Tokyo to score first✗
57%
1.75
–
Half-time result
FC Tokyo ahead at half-time✗
39%
2.56
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC Tokyo / FT FC Tokyo✗
32%
3.12
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.35
–
Recent results
FC Tokyo – last 2
WD
21 Feb
@ Kawasaki Frontale
2–1
W
14 Feb
vs Urawa
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Kashiwa Reysol – last 2
LL
21 Feb
@ Kashima
0–2
L
15 Feb
vs Tokyo Verdy
1–2
L
0.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC Tokyo and Kashiwa Reysol.
What is the prediction for FC Tokyo vs Kashiwa Reysol?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win FC Tokyo vs Kashiwa Reysol?
On our numbers FC Tokyo have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Kashiwa Reysol 30%.
How many goals will there be in FC Tokyo vs Kashiwa Reysol?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Tokyo vs Kashiwa Reysol?
Our predicted score is FC Tokyo 1–1 Kashiwa Reysol, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is FC Tokyo vs Kashiwa Reysol?
FC Tokyo vs Kashiwa Reysol (J1 League) kicks off on Saturday 28 February 2026 at 07:00 (West Africa Time) at Ajinomoto Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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