Value bet: Kashima to win @ 2.62 – our chance 41% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultKashima to win ✓41% · @2.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.26
Urawa vs Kashima: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 28 February the J1 League brings Urawa against Kashima at Saitama Stadium 2002. Kick-off: 06:00 WAT. In the table, Urawa are 6th, lower half, on 25 points after 18 matches; Kashima are 1st (leading the league) with 45. There are 20 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Urawa 1.3 xG, Kashima 1.5 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 62%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Urawa 35%, draw 25%, Kashima 41%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: Kashima to win @2.62 – the bookmaker implies 38%, our ratings say 41%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Urawa 1–1 Kashima. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Urawa35%fair 2.88 · @2.62
Draw25%fair 4.06 · @3.25
Kashima41%fair 2.46 · @2.62
2.82Expected goals
1.32Urawa xG
1.51Kashima xG
62%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–27%
From our goals model: Urawa 1.3 – 1.5 Kashima expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kashima to win✓
41%
2.46
2.62 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.60
1.67
Draw no bet
Kashima (draw no bet)✓
54%
1.86
–
Asian handicap
Urawa +1 (Asian handicap)
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.95
1.93
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
70%
1.43
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
85%
1.18
1.11
First team to score
Kashima to score first
50%
1.99
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.43
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Kashima / FT Kashima✗
25%
4.05
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.26
–
Recent results
Urawa – last 2
WD
21 Feb
@ Yokohama F. Marinos
2–0
W
14 Feb
@ FC Tokyo
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Kashima – last 2
WW
21 Feb
vs Kashiwa Reysol
2–0
W
14 Feb
vs Yokohama F. Marinos
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Urawa and Kashima.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Urawa vs Kashima?
On our numbers Urawa have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Kashima 41%.
How many goals will there be in Urawa vs Kashima?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Urawa vs Kashima?
Our predicted score is Urawa 1–1 Kashima, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Urawa vs Kashima?
Urawa vs Kashima (J1 League) kicks off on Saturday 28 February 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Saitama Stadium 2002.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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