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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

JEF United Chiba v Kashiwa Reysol: numbers & prediction

J1 League · Japan · Fukuda Denshi Arena
JEF United Chiba 18%Draw 24%Kashiwa Reysol 59% Expected goals 1.01 – 1.89
76%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.31 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.28Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.77 – our chance 60% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultKashiwa Reysol to win ✗59% · @1.70
Double chanceKashiwa Reysol or draw ✗82% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.77
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.07

JEF United Chiba vs Kashiwa Reysol: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

05:00 WAT, Saturday 7 March: JEF United Chiba v Kashiwa Reysol in the J1 League, played at Fukuda Denshi Arena. In the table, JEF United Chiba are 10th, in the drop zone, on 12 points after 18 matches; Kashiwa Reysol are 8th (in the drop zone) with 20.

Current form

Kashiwa Reysol, last 3: WLL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over FC Tokyo, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give JEF United Chiba 1.0 xG, Kashiwa Reysol 1.9 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 53% for three or more goals, 60% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – JEF United Chiba 18%, draw 24%, Kashiwa Reysol 59%.
  • Lower-risk option: Kashiwa Reysol or draw (82%) at 1.17.
  • GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.77.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.77 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 60%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: JEF United Chiba 1–1 Kashiwa Reysol. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

JEF United Chiba18%fair 5.63 · @4.80
Draw24%fair 4.24 · @3.65
Kashiwa Reysol59%fair 1.71 · @1.70
2.90Expected goals
1.01JEF United Chiba xG
1.89Kashiwa Reysol xG
60%Both score
53%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
0–110%
1–210%
0–210%
1–36%
0–36%

From our goals model: JEF United Chiba 1.0 – 1.9 Kashiwa Reysol expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultKashiwa Reysol to win ✗59%1.711.70
Double chanceKashiwa Reysol or draw ✗82%1.221.17
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓60%1.671.77 ▲
Draw no betKashiwa Reysol (draw no bet) ✗77%1.30–
Asian handicapJEF United Chiba +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓66%1.51–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76%1.311.28
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓53%1.881.85
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓68%1.461.35
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓84%1.191.12
First team to scoreKashiwa Reysol to score first62%1.62–
Half-time resultKashiwa Reysol ahead at half-time ✗42%2.37–
Half-time / full-timeHT Kashiwa Reysol / FT Kashiwa Reysol ✗36%2.75–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.07–

Recent results

JEF United Chiba – last 1

L
27 Feb@ Machida Zelvia1–2L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Kashiwa Reysol – last 3

WLL
28 Feb@ FC Tokyo2–0W
21 Feb@ Kashima0–2L
15 Febvs Tokyo Verdy1–2L
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between JEF United Chiba and Kashiwa Reysol.

JEF United Chiba vs Kashiwa Reysol head-to-head page →

J1 League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Kashima181503+2045
2FC Tokyo181305+1437
3Machida Zelvia181305+637
4Kawasaki Frontale181008-228
5Tokyo Verdy181008-428
6Urawa187011+325
7Yokohama F. Marinos186012-320
8Kashiwa Reysol187011-220
9Mito Hollyhock186012-1618
10JEF United Chiba183015-1612

More J1 League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for JEF United Chiba vs Kashiwa Reysol?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win JEF United Chiba vs Kashiwa Reysol?

On our numbers JEF United Chiba have a 18% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Kashiwa Reysol 59%.

How many goals will there be in JEF United Chiba vs Kashiwa Reysol?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for JEF United Chiba vs Kashiwa Reysol?

Our predicted score is JEF United Chiba 1–1 Kashiwa Reysol, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is JEF United Chiba vs Kashiwa Reysol?

JEF United Chiba vs Kashiwa Reysol (J1 League) kicks off on Saturday 7 March 2026 at 05:00 (West Africa Time) at Fukuda Denshi Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.