Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 53% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultNagoya Grampus to win ✓40% · @2.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗80% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.74
Avispa Fukuoka vs Nagoya Grampus: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
08:00 WAT, Saturday 7 March: Avispa Fukuoka v Nagoya Grampus in the J1 League, played at Best Denki Stadium. In the table, Avispa Fukuoka are 10th, in the drop zone, on 21 points after 18 matches; Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (among the top four) with 31.
Current form
Avispa Fukuoka, last 3: LLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Vissel Kobe, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Avispa Fukuoka 1.1 xG, Nagoya Grampus 1.3 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Avispa Fukuoka 33%, draw 27%, Nagoya Grampus 40%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.10.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 53%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (66%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Avispa Fukuoka 1–1 Nagoya Grampus. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Avispa Fukuoka33%fair 3.05 · @2.80
Draw27%fair 3.68 · @3.00
Nagoya Grampus40%fair 2.50 · @2.62
2.44Expected goals
1.11Avispa Fukuoka xG
1.32Nagoya Grampus xG
53%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–112%
1–010%
0–09%
1–29%
0–28%
From our goals model: Avispa Fukuoka 1.1 – 1.3 Nagoya Grampus expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nagoya Grampus to win✓
40%
2.50
2.62
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.37
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.88
2.10 ▲
Draw no bet
Nagoya Grampus (draw no bet)✓
55%
1.82
–
Asian handicap
Avispa Fukuoka +1 (Asian handicap)✗
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
1.53
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.66
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
80%
1.26
1.15
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
90%
1.11
1.04
First team to score
Nagoya Grampus to score first✓
50%
2.02
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nagoya Grampus / FT Nagoya Grampus✓
24%
4.17
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.74
–
Recent results
Avispa Fukuoka – last 3
LLL
27 Feb
@ Vissel Kobe
1–2
L
22 Feb
@ Kyoto Sanga
0–2
L
15 Feb
vs Cerezo Osaka
0–2
L
0.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Nagoya Grampus – last 1
L
21 Feb
vs V-varen Nagasaki
1–3
L
1.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Avispa Fukuoka and Nagoya Grampus.
What is the prediction for Avispa Fukuoka vs Nagoya Grampus?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Avispa Fukuoka vs Nagoya Grampus?
On our numbers Avispa Fukuoka have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Nagoya Grampus 40%.
How many goals will there be in Avispa Fukuoka vs Nagoya Grampus?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Avispa Fukuoka vs Nagoya Grampus?
Our predicted score is Avispa Fukuoka 1–1 Nagoya Grampus, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Avispa Fukuoka vs Nagoya Grampus?
Avispa Fukuoka vs Nagoya Grampus (J1 League) kicks off on Saturday 7 March 2026 at 08:00 (West Africa Time) at Best Denki Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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