Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.25 – our chance 54% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +22%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultKashima to win ✓60% · @1.80
Double chanceKashima or draw ✓83% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @2.25
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.12
Kashima vs Tokyo Verdy: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 7 March the J1 League brings Kashima against Tokyo Verdy at Kashima Soccer Stadium. Kick-off: 08:00 WAT. In the table, Kashima are 1st, leading the league, on 45 points after 18 matches; Tokyo Verdy are 5th (upper half) with 28. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Kashima, last 3: WWW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Urawa, away. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Kashima 2.0 xG, Tokyo Verdy 0.9 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Kashima 60%, draw 23%, Tokyo Verdy 17%.
Lower-risk option: Kashima or draw (83%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.25.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.25 – the bookmaker implies 44%, our ratings say 54%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (71%, odds 1.50 – longer than our fair 1.42, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kashima 2–0 Tokyo Verdy. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Kashima60%fair 1.67 · @1.80
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.35
Tokyo Verdy17%fair 5.74 · @4.60
2.88Expected goals
2.00Kashima xG
0.88Tokyo Verdy xG
54%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–011%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: Kashima 2.0 – 0.9 Tokyo Verdy expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kashima to win✓
60%
1.67
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Kashima or draw✓
83%
1.21
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.84
2.25 ▲
Draw no bet
Kashima (draw no bet)✓
77%
1.29
–
Asian handicap
Kashima -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.42
1.50 ▲
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.85
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.15
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
1.04
First team to score
Kashima to score first✓
66%
1.53
–
Half-time result
Kashima ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Kashima / FT Kashima✓
41%
2.46
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.12
–
Recent results
Kashima – last 3
WWW
28 Feb
@ Urawa
3–2
W
21 Feb
vs Kashiwa Reysol
2–0
W
14 Feb
vs Yokohama F. Marinos
1–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Tokyo Verdy – last 2
LW
28 Feb
@ Yokohama F. Marinos
2–3
L
15 Feb
@ Kashiwa Reysol
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kashima and Tokyo Verdy.
What is the prediction for Kashima vs Tokyo Verdy?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Kashima vs Tokyo Verdy?
On our numbers Kashima have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Tokyo Verdy 17%.
How many goals will there be in Kashima vs Tokyo Verdy?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kashima vs Tokyo Verdy?
Our predicted score is Kashima 2–0 Tokyo Verdy, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Kashima vs Tokyo Verdy?
Kashima vs Tokyo Verdy (J1 League) kicks off on Saturday 7 March 2026 at 08:00 (West Africa Time) at Kashima Soccer Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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