FC Tokyo 57%Draw 23%Yokohama F. Marinos 20%Expected goals 1.90 – 0.92
80%
Betarazi pick
FC Tokyo or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: FC Tokyo to win @ 1.90 – our chance 57% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultFC Tokyo to win ✓57% · @1.90
Double chanceFC Tokyo or draw ✓80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.10
FC Tokyo vs Yokohama F. Marinos: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
FC Tokyo welcome Yokohama F. Marinos to National Olympic Stadium for a J1 League fixture on Saturday 7 March (06:00 WAT). In the table, FC Tokyo are 2nd, among the top four, on 37 points after 18 matches; Yokohama F. Marinos are 7th (lower half) with 20. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
FC Tokyo, last 3: LWD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Kashiwa Reysol, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Yokohama F. Marinos, last 3: WLL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Tokyo Verdy, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give FC Tokyo 1.9 xG, Yokohama F. Marinos 0.9 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – FC Tokyo 57%, draw 23%, Yokohama F. Marinos 20%.
Lower-risk option: FC Tokyo or draw (80%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: FC Tokyo to win @1.90 – the bookmaker implies 53%, our ratings say 57%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was FC Tokyo or draw (80%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: FC Tokyo 1–0 Yokohama F. Marinos. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
FC Tokyo57%fair 1.74 · @1.90
Draw23%fair 4.39 · @3.50
Yokohama F. Marinos20%fair 5.03 · @3.90
2.82Expected goals
1.90FC Tokyo xG
0.92Yokohama F. Marinos xG
59%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–011%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%
From our goals model: FC Tokyo 1.9 – 0.9 Yokohama F. Marinos expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC Tokyo to win✓
57%
1.74
1.90 ▲
Double chance
FC Tokyo or draw✓
80%
1.25
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.68
1.73
Draw no bet
FC Tokyo (draw no bet)✓
74%
1.35
–
Asian handicap
FC Tokyo -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.94
1.90
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
1.11
First team to score
FC Tokyo to score first✓
63%
1.58
–
Half-time result
FC Tokyo ahead at half-time✓
43%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC Tokyo / FT FC Tokyo✓
38%
2.63
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.10
–
Recent results
FC Tokyo – last 3
LWD
28 Feb
vs Kashiwa Reysol
0–2
L
21 Feb
@ Kawasaki Frontale
2–1
W
14 Feb
vs Urawa
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Yokohama F. Marinos – last 3
WLL
28 Feb
vs Tokyo Verdy
3–2
W
21 Feb
vs Urawa
0–2
L
14 Feb
@ Kashima
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC Tokyo and Yokohama F. Marinos.
What is the prediction for FC Tokyo vs Yokohama F. Marinos?
Our pick is FC Tokyo or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win FC Tokyo vs Yokohama F. Marinos?
On our numbers FC Tokyo have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Yokohama F. Marinos 20%.
How many goals will there be in FC Tokyo vs Yokohama F. Marinos?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Tokyo vs Yokohama F. Marinos?
Our predicted score is FC Tokyo 1–0 Yokohama F. Marinos, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is FC Tokyo vs Yokohama F. Marinos?
FC Tokyo vs Yokohama F. Marinos (J1 League) kicks off on Saturday 7 March 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at National Olympic Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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