Cerezo Osaka vs Shimizu S-pulse: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Cerezo Osaka welcome Shimizu S-pulse to Yodoko Sakura Stadium for a J1 League fixture on Saturday 7 March (07:00 WAT). In the table, Cerezo Osaka are 2nd, among the top four, on 31 points after 18 matches; Shimizu S-pulse are 7th (lower half) with 24.
Current form
Cerezo Osaka, last 3: LLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to V-varen Nagasaki, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Cerezo Osaka 1.6 xG, Shimizu S-pulse 1.0 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Cerezo Osaka 48%, draw 24%, Shimizu S-pulse 28%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.67.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cerezo Osaka 1–1 Shimizu S-pulse. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Cerezo Osaka48%fair 2.08 · @2.20
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.40
Shimizu S-pulse28%fair 3.60 · @3.10
2.61Expected goals
1.59Cerezo Osaka xG
1.02Shimizu S-pulse xG
59%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–012%
2–19%
2–09%
0–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Cerezo Osaka 1.6 – 1.0 Shimizu S-pulse expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cerezo Osaka to win✗
48%
2.08
2.20 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.32
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.69
1.67
Draw no bet
Cerezo Osaka (draw no bet)
63%
1.58
–
Asian handicap
Shimizu S-pulse +1 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
73%
1.36
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.98
1.90
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
1.11
First team to score
Cerezo Osaka to score first✗
56%
1.77
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cerezo Osaka / FT Cerezo Osaka✗
31%
3.27
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.55
–
Recent results
Cerezo Osaka – last 3
LLW
28 Feb
@ V-varen Nagasaki
0–1
L
22 Feb
vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1–2
L
15 Feb
@ Avispa Fukuoka
2–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Shimizu S-pulse – last 2
WD
21 Feb
vs Vissel Kobe
1–0
W
14 Feb
vs Kyoto Sanga
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cerezo Osaka and Shimizu S-pulse.
What is the prediction for Cerezo Osaka vs Shimizu S-pulse?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Cerezo Osaka vs Shimizu S-pulse?
On our numbers Cerezo Osaka have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Shimizu S-pulse 28%.
How many goals will there be in Cerezo Osaka vs Shimizu S-pulse?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cerezo Osaka vs Shimizu S-pulse?
Our predicted score is Cerezo Osaka 1–1 Shimizu S-pulse, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Cerezo Osaka vs Shimizu S-pulse?
Cerezo Osaka vs Shimizu S-pulse (J1 League) kicks off on Saturday 7 March 2026 at 07:00 (West Africa Time) at Yodoko Sakura Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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