Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win @ 1.80 – our chance 59% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSanfrecce Hiroshima to win ✗59% · @1.80
Double chanceSanfrecce Hiroshima or draw ✗84% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.17
Shimizu S-pulse vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Sanfrecce Hiroshima travel to face Shimizu S-pulse on Sunday 22 March in the J1 League, with IAI Stadium Nihondaira the venue – the ball rolls at 05:00 WAT. In the table, Shimizu S-pulse are 7th, lower half, on 24 points after 18 matches; Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (among the top four) with 30.
Current form
Sanfrecce Hiroshima, last 5: LWWLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Nagoya Grampus, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Shimizu S-pulse 0.9 xG, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1.9 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Shimizu S-pulse 16%, draw 24%, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 59%.
Lower-risk option: Sanfrecce Hiroshima or draw (84%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.70.
Price worth noting: Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win @1.80 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 59%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Sanfrecce Hiroshima or draw (84%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Shimizu S-pulse 0–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Shimizu S-pulse16%fair 6.07 · @4.20
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.60
Sanfrecce Hiroshima59%fair 1.68 · @1.80
2.76Expected goals
0.87Shimizu S-pulse xG
1.89Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
59%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–112%
0–211%
1–110%
1–210%
0–37%
0–06%
From our goals model: Shimizu S-pulse 0.9 – 1.9 Sanfrecce Hiroshima expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win✗
59%
1.68
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Sanfrecce Hiroshima or draw✗
84%
1.20
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.70
1.70
Draw no bet
Sanfrecce Hiroshima (draw no bet)✗
78%
1.28
–
Asian handicap
Sanfrecce Hiroshima -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.93
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
69%
1.44
1.38
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
1.12
First team to score
Sanfrecce Hiroshima to score first✗
64%
1.56
–
Half-time result
Sanfrecce Hiroshima ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sanfrecce Hiroshima / FT Sanfrecce Hiroshima✗
39%
2.58
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.17
–
Recent results
Shimizu S-pulse – last 2
WD
21 Feb
vs Vissel Kobe
1–0
W
14 Feb
vs Kyoto Sanga
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Sanfrecce Hiroshima – last 6
LWWLLW
18 Mar
@ Nagoya Grampus
1–2
L
14 Mar
vs Gamba Osaka
2–0
W
11 Mar
vs Johor Darul Takzim FC
1–0
W
4 Mar
@ Johor Darul Takzim FC
1–3
L
27 Feb
vs Kyoto Sanga
1–2
L
22 Feb
@ Cerezo Osaka
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Shimizu S-pulse and Sanfrecce Hiroshima.
What is the prediction for Shimizu S-pulse vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
Our pick is Sanfrecce Hiroshima or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Shimizu S-pulse vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
On our numbers Shimizu S-pulse have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Sanfrecce Hiroshima 59%.
How many goals will there be in Shimizu S-pulse vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Shimizu S-pulse vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
Our predicted score is Shimizu S-pulse 0–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Shimizu S-pulse vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
Shimizu S-pulse vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima (J1 League) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 05:00 (West Africa Time) at IAI Stadium Nihondaira.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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