Value bet: Machida Zelvia to win @ 2.65 – our chance 42% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultMachida Zelvia to win ✓42% · @2.65
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓9% · fair 10.89
Urawa vs Machida Zelvia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Machida Zelvia travel to face Urawa on Sunday 22 March in the J1 League, with Saitama Stadium 2002 the venue – the ball rolls at 08:00 WAT. In the table, Urawa are 6th, lower half, on 25 points after 18 matches; Machida Zelvia are 3rd (among the top four) with 37. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Urawa, last 5: LWLWD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Tokyo Verdy, away. Goals for and against: 1.4 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Machida Zelvia, last 5: LWWDW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Kashima, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Machida Zelvia, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.4 for Urawa.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Urawa 1.1 xG, Machida Zelvia 1.5 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Urawa 32%, draw 26%, Machida Zelvia 42%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Machida Zelvia to win @2.65 – the bookmaker implies 38%, our ratings say 42%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Urawa 1–1 Machida Zelvia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Urawa32%fair 3.12 · @2.65
Draw26%fair 3.79 · @3.20
Machida Zelvia42%fair 2.41 · @2.65
2.62Expected goals
1.12Urawa xG
1.50Machida Zelvia xG
52%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–111%
1–29%
0–28%
1–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Urawa 1.1 – 1.5 Machida Zelvia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Machida Zelvia to win✓
42%
2.41
2.65 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.36
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.94
1.85
Draw no bet
Machida Zelvia (draw no bet)✓
56%
1.77
–
Asian handicap
Urawa +1 (Asian handicap)
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.42
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.84
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
1.06
First team to score
Machida Zelvia to score first✓
53%
1.88
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Machida Zelvia / FT Machida Zelvia✓
27%
3.65
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
9%
10.89
–
Recent results
Urawa – last 5
LWLWD
14 Mar
@ Tokyo Verdy
0–1
L
7 Mar
vs Mito Hollyhock
2–0
W
28 Feb
vs Kashima
2–3
L
21 Feb
@ Yokohama F. Marinos
2–0
W
14 Feb
@ FC Tokyo
1–1
D
1.4Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
40%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Machida Zelvia – last 6
LWWDWW
18 Mar
vs Kashima
0–3
L
14 Mar
@ Kashiwa Reysol
1–0
W
10 Mar
vs Gangwon FC
1–0
W
3 Mar
@ Gangwon FC
0–0
D
27 Feb
vs JEF United Chiba
2–1
W
17 Feb
vs Chengdu Better City
3–2
W
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Urawa and Machida Zelvia.
What is the prediction for Urawa vs Machida Zelvia?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Urawa vs Machida Zelvia?
On our numbers Urawa have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Machida Zelvia 42%.
How many goals will there be in Urawa vs Machida Zelvia?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Urawa vs Machida Zelvia?
Our predicted score is Urawa 1–1 Machida Zelvia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Urawa vs Machida Zelvia?
Urawa vs Machida Zelvia (J1 League) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 08:00 (West Africa Time) at Saitama Stadium 2002.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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