Tokyo Verdy 20%Draw 25%FC Tokyo 55%Expected goals 0.81 – 1.76
80%
Betarazi pick
FC Tokyo or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: FC Tokyo to win @ 2.00 – our chance 55% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultFC Tokyo to win ✗55% · @2.00
Double chanceFC Tokyo or draw ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.41
Tokyo Verdy vs FC Tokyo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
FC Tokyo travel to face Tokyo Verdy on Sunday 22 March in the J1 League, with Ajinomoto Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 06:00 WAT. In the table, Tokyo Verdy are 5th, upper half, on 28 points after 18 matches; FC Tokyo are 2nd (among the top four) with 37.
Current form
Tokyo Verdy, last 5: LWLLW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Kawasaki Frontale, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.6 conceded per game.
FC Tokyo, last 5: WWLWD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over JEF United Chiba, away. Goals for and against: 1.6 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours FC Tokyo, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.2 for Tokyo Verdy.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Tokyo Verdy 0.8 xG, FC Tokyo 1.8 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Tokyo Verdy 20%, draw 25%, FC Tokyo 55%.
Lower-risk option: FC Tokyo or draw (80%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.10.
Price worth noting: FC Tokyo to win @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 55%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was FC Tokyo or draw (80%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tokyo Verdy 0–1 FC Tokyo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Tokyo Verdy20%fair 4.89 · @4.00
Draw25%fair 4.01 · @3.10
FC Tokyo55%fair 1.83 · @2.00
2.57Expected goals
0.81Tokyo Verdy xG
1.76FC Tokyo xG
52%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–113%
0–212%
1–111%
1–210%
0–08%
0–37%
From our goals model: Tokyo Verdy 0.8 – 1.8 FC Tokyo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC Tokyo to win✗
55%
1.83
2.00 ▲
Double chance
FC Tokyo or draw✓
80%
1.26
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.94
2.10 ▲
Draw no bet
FC Tokyo (draw no bet)
73%
1.37
–
Asian handicap
Tokyo Verdy +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
68%
1.47
1.50
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
1.17
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
1.05
First team to score
FC Tokyo to score first✗
63%
1.58
–
Half-time result
FC Tokyo ahead at half-time✗
42%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC Tokyo / FT FC Tokyo✗
37%
2.68
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.41
–
Recent results
Tokyo Verdy – last 5
LWLLW
18 Mar
vs Kawasaki Frontale
0–2
L
14 Mar
vs Urawa
1–0
W
7 Mar
@ Kashima
0–2
L
28 Feb
@ Yokohama F. Marinos
2–3
L
15 Feb
@ Kashiwa Reysol
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
1.6Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
FC Tokyo – last 5
WWLWD
18 Mar
@ JEF United Chiba
2–1
W
7 Mar
vs Yokohama F. Marinos
3–0
W
28 Feb
vs Kashiwa Reysol
0–2
L
21 Feb
@ Kawasaki Frontale
2–1
W
14 Feb
vs Urawa
1–1
D
1.6Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tokyo Verdy and FC Tokyo.
What is the prediction for Tokyo Verdy vs FC Tokyo?
Our pick is FC Tokyo or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Tokyo Verdy vs FC Tokyo?
On our numbers Tokyo Verdy have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 25% and FC Tokyo 55%.
How many goals will there be in Tokyo Verdy vs FC Tokyo?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tokyo Verdy vs FC Tokyo?
Our predicted score is Tokyo Verdy 0–1 FC Tokyo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Tokyo Verdy vs FC Tokyo?
Tokyo Verdy vs FC Tokyo (J1 League) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Ajinomoto Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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