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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Kashiwa Reysol v Mito Hollyhock: numbers & prediction

J1 League · Japan · Sankyo Frontier Kashiwa Stadium
3–0
FT
Kashiwa Reysol 66%Draw 20%Mito Hollyhock 13% Expected goals 2.19 – 0.82
76%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.32 · bookmaker 1.33 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.33Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 54% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultKashiwa Reysol to win ✓66% · @1.55
Double chanceKashiwa Reysol or draw ✓87% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.32

Kashiwa Reysol vs Mito Hollyhock: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 22 March the J1 League brings Kashiwa Reysol against Mito Hollyhock at Sankyo Frontier Kashiwa Stadium. Kick-off: 08:00 WAT. In the table, Kashiwa Reysol are 8th, in the drop zone, on 20 points after 18 matches; Mito Hollyhock are 9th (in the drop zone) with 18. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Kashiwa Reysol, last 5: LLWLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Machida Zelvia, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Mito Hollyhock, last 3: WLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Yokohama F. Marinos, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Mito Hollyhock, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.6 for Kashiwa Reysol.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Kashiwa Reysol 2.2 xG, Mito Hollyhock 0.8 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 53% and GG at 54%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Kashiwa Reysol 66%, draw 20%, Mito Hollyhock 13%.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.00.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 54%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kashiwa Reysol 2–0 Mito Hollyhock. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Kashiwa Reysol66%fair 1.51 · @1.55
Draw20%fair 4.96 · @3.85
Mito Hollyhock13%fair 7.42 · @6.20
3.00Expected goals
2.19Kashiwa Reysol xG
0.82Mito Hollyhock xG
54%Both score
53%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–012%
1–011%
2–110%
1–19%
3–09%
3–17%

From our goals model: Kashiwa Reysol 2.2 – 0.8 Mito Hollyhock expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultKashiwa Reysol to win ✓66%1.511.55
Double chanceKashiwa Reysol or draw ✓87%1.161.11
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗54%1.872.00 ▲
Draw no betKashiwa Reysol (draw no bet) ✓83%1.20–
Asian handicapKashiwa Reysol -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓69%1.46–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76%1.321.33
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓53%1.902.00 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓69%1.451.28
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓84%1.191.09
First team to scoreKashiwa Reysol to score first ✓69%1.45–
Half-time resultKashiwa Reysol ahead at half-time ✓50%2.01–
Half-time / full-timeHT Kashiwa Reysol / FT Kashiwa Reysol ✓45%2.22–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.32–

Recent results

Kashiwa Reysol – last 5

LLWLL
14 Marvs Machida Zelvia0–1L
7 Mar@ JEF United Chiba1–2L
28 Feb@ FC Tokyo2–0W
21 Feb@ Kashima0–2L
15 Febvs Tokyo Verdy1–2L
0.8Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5

Mito Hollyhock – last 3

WLD
18 Marvs Yokohama F. Marinos1–0W
7 Mar@ Urawa0–2L
14 Feb@ Machida Zelvia2–2D
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Kashiwa Reysol and Mito Hollyhock.

Kashiwa Reysol vs Mito Hollyhock head-to-head page →

J1 League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Kashima181503+2045
2FC Tokyo181305+1437
3Machida Zelvia181305+637
4Kawasaki Frontale181008-228
5Tokyo Verdy181008-428
6Urawa187011+325
7Yokohama F. Marinos186012-320
8Kashiwa Reysol187011-220
9Mito Hollyhock186012-1618
10JEF United Chiba183015-1612

More J1 League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Kashiwa Reysol vs Mito Hollyhock?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.

Who will win Kashiwa Reysol vs Mito Hollyhock?

On our numbers Kashiwa Reysol have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Mito Hollyhock 13%.

How many goals will there be in Kashiwa Reysol vs Mito Hollyhock?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Kashiwa Reysol vs Mito Hollyhock?

Our predicted score is Kashiwa Reysol 2–0 Mito Hollyhock, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Kashiwa Reysol vs Mito Hollyhock?

Kashiwa Reysol vs Mito Hollyhock (J1 League) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 08:00 (West Africa Time) at Sankyo Frontier Kashiwa Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.