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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Kashima v JEF United Chiba: numbers & prediction

J1 League · Japan · Kashima Soccer Stadium

Kashima

WWWWW
2–1
FT
Kashima 64%Draw 22%JEF United Chiba 14% Expected goals 2.00 – 0.80
75%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.28Odds

Picks by market

ResultKashima to win ✓64% · @1.57
Double chanceKashima or draw ✓86% · @1.13
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · @1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗8% · fair 12.32

Kashima vs JEF United Chiba: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 22 March the J1 League brings Kashima against JEF United Chiba at Kashima Soccer Stadium. Kick-off: 07:00 WAT. In the table, Kashima are 1st, leading the league, on 45 points after 18 matches; JEF United Chiba are 10th (in the drop zone) with 12. There are 33 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Kashima, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Machida Zelvia, away. In their own stadium the record reads 4 won, 0 lost from 4. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.

JEF United Chiba, last 4: LLWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to FC Tokyo, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Kashima, collecting 3.0 points per game to 0.8 for JEF United Chiba.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Kashima 2.0 xG, JEF United Chiba 0.8 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 46%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Kashima 64%, draw 22%, JEF United Chiba 14%.
  • Lower-risk option: Kashima or draw (86%) at 1.13.
  • GG/NG: NG (54%) at 1.83.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kashima 2–0 JEF United Chiba. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Kashima64%fair 1.56 · @1.57
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.85
JEF United Chiba14%fair 7.11 · @5.80
2.80Expected goals
2.00Kashima xG
0.80JEF United Chiba xG
46%Both score
51%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–012%
1–012%
2–110%
1–110%
3–08%
3–16%

From our goals model: Kashima 2.0 – 0.8 JEF United Chiba expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultKashima to win ✓64%1.561.57
Double chanceKashima or draw ✓86%1.161.13
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗54%1.871.83
Draw no betKashima (draw no bet) ✓82%1.22–
Asian handicapKashima -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓65%1.53–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75%1.331.28
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓51%1.951.90
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓70%1.431.33
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓85%1.181.11
First team to scoreKashima to score first ✓67%1.49–
Half-time resultKashima ahead at half-time ✓47%2.13–
Half-time / full-timeHT Kashima / FT Kashima ✓42%2.38–
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗8%12.32–

Recent results

Kashima – last 6

WWWWWW
18 Mar@ Machida Zelvia3–0W
14 Marvs Kawasaki Frontale1–0W
7 Marvs Tokyo Verdy2–0W
28 Feb@ Urawa3–2W
21 Febvs Kashiwa Reysol2–0W
14 Febvs Yokohama F. Marinos1–0W
2.0Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

JEF United Chiba – last 4

LLWL
18 Marvs FC Tokyo1–2L
14 Mar@ Yokohama F. Marinos0–2L
7 Marvs Kashiwa Reysol2–1W
27 Feb@ Machida Zelvia1–2L
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Kashima and JEF United Chiba.

Kashima vs JEF United Chiba head-to-head page →

J1 League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Kashima181503+2045
2FC Tokyo181305+1437
3Machida Zelvia181305+637
4Kawasaki Frontale181008-228
5Tokyo Verdy181008-428
6Urawa187011+325
7Yokohama F. Marinos186012-320
8Kashiwa Reysol187011-220
9Mito Hollyhock186012-1618
10JEF United Chiba183015-1612

More J1 League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Kashima vs JEF United Chiba?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Kashima vs JEF United Chiba?

On our numbers Kashima have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 22% and JEF United Chiba 14%.

How many goals will there be in Kashima vs JEF United Chiba?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Kashima vs JEF United Chiba?

Our predicted score is Kashima 2–0 JEF United Chiba, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Kashima vs JEF United Chiba?

Kashima vs JEF United Chiba (J1 League) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 07:00 (West Africa Time) at Kashima Soccer Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.