Shimizu S-pulse vs V-varen Nagasaki: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Shimizu S-pulse welcome V-varen Nagasaki to IAI Stadium Nihondaira for a J1 League fixture on Wednesday 29 April (05:00 WAT). In the table, Shimizu S-pulse are 7th, lower half, on 24 points after 18 matches; V-varen Nagasaki are 9th (in the drop zone) with 21. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Shimizu S-pulse, last 5: LWLWW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Nagoya Grampus, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
V-varen Nagasaki, last 5: LLLWL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Sanfrecce Hiroshima, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Momentum favours Shimizu S-pulse, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.0 for V-varen Nagasaki.
Head to head
When they last met (5 Apr 2026) it ended V-varen Nagasaki 0–3 Shimizu S-pulse.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Shimizu S-pulse 1.4 xG, V-varen Nagasaki 1.1 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Shimizu S-pulse 49%, draw 26%, V-varen Nagasaki 25%.
Lower-risk option: Shimizu S-pulse or draw (75%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Shimizu S-pulse or draw (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Shimizu S-pulse 1–1 V-varen Nagasaki. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Shimizu S-pulse49%fair 2.05 · @1.95
Draw26%fair 3.81 · @3.40
V-varen Nagasaki25%fair 3.99 · @3.80
2.49Expected goals
1.42Shimizu S-pulse xG
1.08V-varen Nagasaki xG
59%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
2–19%
0–19%
2–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: Shimizu S-pulse 1.4 – 1.1 V-varen Nagasaki expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Shimizu S-pulse vs V-varen Nagasaki?
Our pick is Shimizu S-pulse or draw with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Shimizu S-pulse vs V-varen Nagasaki?
On our numbers Shimizu S-pulse have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 26% and V-varen Nagasaki 25%.
How many goals will there be in Shimizu S-pulse vs V-varen Nagasaki?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Shimizu S-pulse vs V-varen Nagasaki?
Our predicted score is Shimizu S-pulse 1–1 V-varen Nagasaki, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Shimizu S-pulse vs V-varen Nagasaki?
Shimizu S-pulse vs V-varen Nagasaki (J1 League) kicks off on Wednesday 29 April 2026 at 05:00 (West Africa Time) at IAI Stadium Nihondaira.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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