Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 55% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultSanfrecce Hiroshima to win ✗62% · @1.68
Double chanceSanfrecce Hiroshima or draw ✓84% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.23
Avispa Fukuoka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Wednesday 29 April the J1 League brings Avispa Fukuoka against Sanfrecce Hiroshima at Best Denki Stadium. Kick-off: 06:00 WAT. In the table, Avispa Fukuoka are 10th, in the drop zone, on 21 points after 18 matches; Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (among the top four) with 30.
Current form
Avispa Fukuoka, last 5: LWWWL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Fagiano Okayama, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Sanfrecce Hiroshima, last 5: WWLLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Cerezo Osaka, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Avispa Fukuoka, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for Sanfrecce Hiroshima.
Head to head
When they last met (5 Apr 2026) it ended Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0–1 Avispa Fukuoka.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Avispa Fukuoka 0.8 xG, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2.0 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Avispa Fukuoka 16%, draw 22%, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 62%.
Lower-risk option: Sanfrecce Hiroshima or draw (84%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 55%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Avispa Fukuoka 0–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Avispa Fukuoka16%fair 6.32 · @5.10
Draw22%fair 4.49 · @3.55
Sanfrecce Hiroshima62%fair 1.62 · @1.68
2.80Expected goals
0.82Avispa Fukuoka xG
1.98Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
55%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–112%
0–212%
1–110%
1–210%
0–38%
1–36%
From our goals model: Avispa Fukuoka 0.8 – 2.0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Avispa Fukuoka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Avispa Fukuoka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
On our numbers Avispa Fukuoka have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Sanfrecce Hiroshima 62%.
How many goals will there be in Avispa Fukuoka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Avispa Fukuoka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
Our predicted score is Avispa Fukuoka 0–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Avispa Fukuoka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
Avispa Fukuoka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima (J1 League) kicks off on Wednesday 29 April 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Best Denki Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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