Tokyo Verdy 19%Draw 25%Kashima 56%Expected goals 0.88 – 1.67
81%
Betarazi pick
Kashima or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.05 – our chance 54% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultKashima to win ✗56% · @1.90
Double chanceKashima or draw ✗81% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.44
Tokyo Verdy vs Kashima: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
05:00 WAT, Wednesday 29 April: Tokyo Verdy v Kashima in the J1 League, played at Ajinomoto Stadium. In the table, Tokyo Verdy are 5th, upper half, on 28 points after 18 matches; Kashima are 1st (leading the league) with 45. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Tokyo Verdy, last 5: WLLWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over JEF United Chiba, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Kashima, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Kashiwa Reysol, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Kashima, collecting 3.0 points per game to 1.0 for Tokyo Verdy.
Head to head
When they last met (7 Mar 2026) it ended Kashima 2–0 Tokyo Verdy.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Tokyo Verdy 0.9 xG, Kashima 1.7 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Tokyo Verdy 19%, draw 25%, Kashima 56%.
Lower-risk option: Kashima or draw (81%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.05.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.05 – the bookmaker implies 49%, our ratings say 54%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Kashima or draw (81%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tokyo Verdy 0–1 Kashima. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Tokyo Verdy19%fair 5.31 · @4.33
Draw25%fair 4.00 · @3.20
Kashima56%fair 1.78 · @1.90
2.55Expected goals
0.88Tokyo Verdy xG
1.67Kashima xG
54%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–113%
1–111%
0–211%
1–210%
0–08%
1–07%
From our goals model: Tokyo Verdy 0.9 – 1.7 Kashima expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Tokyo Verdy vs Kashima?
Our pick is Kashima or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Tokyo Verdy vs Kashima?
On our numbers Tokyo Verdy have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Kashima 56%.
How many goals will there be in Tokyo Verdy vs Kashima?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tokyo Verdy vs Kashima?
Our predicted score is Tokyo Verdy 0–1 Kashima, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Tokyo Verdy vs Kashima?
Tokyo Verdy vs Kashima (J1 League) kicks off on Wednesday 29 April 2026 at 05:00 (West Africa Time) at Ajinomoto Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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