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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Kashiwa Reysol v FC Tokyo: numbers & prediction

J1 League · Japan · Sankyo Frontier Kashiwa Stadium
1–3
FT
Kashiwa Reysol 36%Draw 26%FC Tokyo 39% Expected goals 1.26 – 1.47
73%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.36 · bookmaker 1.33 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.33Odds
2

Value bet: FC Tokyo to win @ 2.75 – our chance 39% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultFC Tokyo to win ✓39% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.26

Kashiwa Reysol vs FC Tokyo: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

FC Tokyo travel to face Kashiwa Reysol on Wednesday 29 April in the J1 League, with Sankyo Frontier Kashiwa Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 08:00 WAT. In the table, Kashiwa Reysol are 8th, in the drop zone, on 20 points after 18 matches; FC Tokyo are 2nd (among the top four) with 37. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Kashiwa Reysol, last 5: LLLWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Kashima, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

FC Tokyo, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 5–2 win over Mito Hollyhock, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.7 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Momentum favours FC Tokyo, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.0 for Kashiwa Reysol.

Head to head

When they last met (28 Feb 2026) it ended FC Tokyo 0–2 Kashiwa Reysol.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Kashiwa Reysol 1.3 xG, FC Tokyo 1.5 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 60%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Kashiwa Reysol 36%, draw 26%, FC Tokyo 39%.
  • GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.73.
  • Price worth noting: FC Tokyo to win @2.75 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 39%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kashiwa Reysol 1–1 FC Tokyo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Kashiwa Reysol36%fair 2.81 · @2.45
Draw26%fair 3.92 · @3.30
FC Tokyo39%fair 2.57 · @2.75
2.72Expected goals
1.26Kashiwa Reysol xG
1.47FC Tokyo xG
60%Both score
49%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–27%

From our goals model: Kashiwa Reysol 1.3 – 1.5 FC Tokyo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFC Tokyo to win ✓39%2.572.75 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74%1.341.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓60%1.671.73
Draw no betFC Tokyo (draw no bet) ✓52%1.91–
Asian handicapKashiwa Reysol +1 (Asian handicap) ✗74%1.35–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73%1.361.33
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗51%1.971.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗72%1.391.28
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓86%1.161.09
First team to scoreFC Tokyo to score first ✓50%1.99–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗42%2.39–
Half-time / full-timeHT FC Tokyo / FT FC Tokyo ✓25%4.03–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.26–

Recent results

Kashiwa Reysol – last 6

LLLWWL
24 Aprvs Kashima0–1L
19 Apr@ Mito Hollyhock0–2L
11 Apr@ Machida Zelvia0–1L
5 Aprvs Yokohama F. Marinos3–0W
22 Marvs Mito Hollyhock3–0W
14 Marvs Machida Zelvia0–1L
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
0%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

FC Tokyo – last 6

WWWWWL
24 Aprvs Mito Hollyhock5–2W
11 Apr@ Yokohama F. Marinos3–1W
1 Apr@ Machida Zelvia3–0W
18 Mar@ JEF United Chiba2–1W
7 Marvs Yokohama F. Marinos3–0W
28 Febvs Kashiwa Reysol0–2L
2.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

28 Feb 2026FC Tokyo v Kashiwa Reysol0–2
Kashiwa Reysol vs FC Tokyo head-to-head page →

J1 League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Kashima181503+2045
2FC Tokyo181305+1437
3Machida Zelvia181305+637
4Kawasaki Frontale181008-228
5Tokyo Verdy181008-428
6Urawa187011+325
7Yokohama F. Marinos186012-320
8Kashiwa Reysol187011-220
9Mito Hollyhock186012-1618
10JEF United Chiba183015-1612

More J1 League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Kashiwa Reysol vs FC Tokyo?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.

Who will win Kashiwa Reysol vs FC Tokyo?

On our numbers Kashiwa Reysol have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 26% and FC Tokyo 39%.

How many goals will there be in Kashiwa Reysol vs FC Tokyo?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Kashiwa Reysol vs FC Tokyo?

Our predicted score is Kashiwa Reysol 1–1 FC Tokyo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Kashiwa Reysol vs FC Tokyo?

Kashiwa Reysol vs FC Tokyo (J1 League) kicks off on Wednesday 29 April 2026 at 08:00 (West Africa Time) at Sankyo Frontier Kashiwa Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.