Nagoya Grampus vs Fagiano Okayama: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Fagiano Okayama travel to face Nagoya Grampus on Wednesday 29 April in the J1 League, with Nagoya Mizuho Athletics Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 07:00 WAT. In the table, Nagoya Grampus are 3rd, among the top four, on 31 points after 18 matches; Fagiano Okayama are 6th (lower half) with 26.
Current form
Nagoya Grampus, last 5: WWWLW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Shimizu S-pulse, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Fagiano Okayama, last 5: WLLLW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Avispa Fukuoka, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Nagoya Grampus, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.5 for Fagiano Okayama.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Nagoya Grampus 1.7 xG, Fagiano Okayama 1.2 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 55%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Nagoya Grampus 50%, draw 27%, Fagiano Okayama 24%.
Lower-risk option: Nagoya Grampus or draw (76%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.38). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nagoya Grampus 1–1 Fagiano Okayama. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Nagoya Grampus50%fair 2.02 · @1.95
Draw27%fair 3.74 · @3.25
Fagiano Okayama24%fair 4.22 · @3.95
2.87Expected goals
1.66Nagoya Grampus xG
1.21Fagiano Okayama xG
55%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–09%
2–08%
1–27%
0–17%
From our goals model: Nagoya Grampus 1.7 – 1.2 Fagiano Okayama expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nagoya Grampus to win✗
50%
2.02
1.95
Double chance
Nagoya Grampus or draw✓
76%
1.31
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.83
1.85
Draw no bet
Nagoya Grampus (draw no bet)
68%
1.48
–
Asian handicap
Fagiano Okayama +1 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
50%
1.99
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.40
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
1.07
First team to score
Nagoya Grampus to score first
55%
1.83
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
40%
2.47
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nagoya Grampus / FT Nagoya Grampus✗
29%
3.46
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.58
–
Recent results
Nagoya Grampus – last 6
WWWLWL
25 Apr
@ Shimizu S-pulse
2–0
W
4 Apr
vs Cerezo Osaka
3–0
W
18 Mar
vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2–1
W
14 Mar
vs Vissel Kobe
0–3
L
7 Mar
@ Avispa Fukuoka
5–1
W
21 Feb
vs V-varen Nagasaki
1–3
L
2.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Fagiano Okayama – last 6
WLLLWW
25 Apr
vs Avispa Fukuoka
2–0
W
11 Apr
@ Kyoto Sanga
1–5
L
5 Apr
vs Vissel Kobe
1–4
L
21 Mar
vs V-varen Nagasaki
0–1
L
18 Mar
@ Cerezo Osaka
2–1
W
8 Mar
vs Kyoto Sanga
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nagoya Grampus and Fagiano Okayama.
What is the prediction for Nagoya Grampus vs Fagiano Okayama?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win Nagoya Grampus vs Fagiano Okayama?
On our numbers Nagoya Grampus have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Fagiano Okayama 24%.
How many goals will there be in Nagoya Grampus vs Fagiano Okayama?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nagoya Grampus vs Fagiano Okayama?
Our predicted score is Nagoya Grampus 1–1 Fagiano Okayama, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Nagoya Grampus vs Fagiano Okayama?
Nagoya Grampus vs Fagiano Okayama (J1 League) kicks off on Wednesday 29 April 2026 at 07:00 (West Africa Time) at Nagoya Mizuho Athletics Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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