Yokohama F. Marinos v Kashima Prediction & Expected Goals (10 May) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultKashima to win ✗48% · @1.95

Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.25

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.73

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.30

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.93

Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kashima: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

06:00 WAT, Sunday 10 May: Yokohama F. Marinos v Kashima in the J1 League, played at Nissan Stadium. In the table, Yokohama F. Marinos are 7th, lower half, on 20 points after 18 matches; Kashima are 1st (leading the league) with 45. There are 25 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Yokohama F. Marinos, last 5: LWWLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Machida Zelvia, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.

Kashima, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Mito Hollyhock, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Kashima, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.0 for Yokohama F. Marinos.

Head to head

When they last met (14 Feb 2026) it ended Kashima 1–0 Yokohama F. Marinos.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Yokohama F. Marinos 1.3 xG, Kashima 1.6 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Yokohama F. Marinos 27%, draw 25%, Kashima 48%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.73.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Yokohama F. Marinos 1–1 Kashima. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Yokohama F. Marinos27%fair 3.65 · @3.65

Draw25%fair 4.02 · @3.45

Kashima48%fair 2.10 · @1.95

2.84Expected goals

1.27Yokohama F. Marinos xG

1.57Kashima xG

58%Both score

51%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%

0–19%

1–29%

1–07%

2–17%

0–27%

From our goals model: Yokohama F. Marinos 1.3 – 1.6 Kashima expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Kashima to win ✗	48%	2.10	1.95
Double chance	Either team to win ✗	75%	1.33	1.25
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	58%	1.73	1.73
Draw no bet	Kashima (draw no bet)	63%	1.58	–
Asian handicap	Yokohama F. Marinos +1 (Asian handicap) ✓	71%	1.40	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	75%	1.33	1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✗	51%	1.94	1.93
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	70%	1.42	1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	85%	1.18	1.10
First team to score	Kashima to score first	52%	1.92	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	41%	2.45	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Kashima / FT Kashima ✗	26%	3.77	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✗	9%	10.93	–

Yokohama F. Marinos – last 6

LWWLLL

6 May	@ Machida Zelvia	0–2	L
29 Apr	@ JEF United Chiba	3–2	W
25 Apr	@ Urawa	3–2	W
18 Apr	vs Kawasaki Frontale	1–2	L
11 Apr	vs FC Tokyo	1–3	L
5 Apr	@ Kashiwa Reysol	0–3	L

1.3Scored / game

2.3Conceded / game

67%Both scored

83%Over 2.5

Kashima – last 6

WLWWWW

6 May	vs Mito Hollyhock	3–0	W
29 Apr	@ Tokyo Verdy	1–2	L
24 Apr	@ Kashiwa Reysol	1–0	W
18 Apr	vs Urawa	1–0	W
12 Apr	@ Kawasaki Frontale	2–0	W
22 Mar	vs JEF United Chiba	2–1	W

1.7Scored / game

0.5Conceded / game

33%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Kashima	18	15	3	+20	45
2	FC Tokyo	18	13	5	+14	37
3	Machida Zelvia	18	13	5	+6	37
4	Kawasaki Frontale	18	10	8	-2	28
5	Tokyo Verdy	18	10	8	-4	28
6	Urawa	18	7	11	+3	25
7	Yokohama F. Marinos	18	6	12	-3	20
8	Kashiwa Reysol	18	7	11	-2	20
9	Mito Hollyhock	18	6	12	-16	18
10	JEF United Chiba	18	3	15	-16	12

Team

Pts

+20

+14

-2

-4

-3

-2

-16

-16

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kashima?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kashima?

On our numbers Yokohama F. Marinos have a 27% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Kashima 48%.

How many goals will there be in Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kashima?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kashima?

Our predicted score is Yokohama F. Marinos 1–1 Kashima, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kashima?

Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kashima (J1 League) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Nissan Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Yokohama F. Marinos v Kashima: numbers & prediction