Value bet: Kyoto Sanga to win @ 3.40 – our chance 32% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultNagoya Grampus to win ✓42% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.40
Nagoya Grampus vs Kyoto Sanga: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Nagoya Grampus welcome Kyoto Sanga to Toyota Stadium for a J1 League fixture on Sunday 10 May (08:00 WAT). In the table, Nagoya Grampus are 3rd, among the top four, on 31 points after 18 matches; Kyoto Sanga are 8th (in the drop zone) with 23.
Current form
Nagoya Grampus, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Gamba Osaka, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Kyoto Sanga, last 5: LLWLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Shimizu S-pulse, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Nagoya Grampus, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.0 for Kyoto Sanga.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Nagoya Grampus 1.5 xG, Kyoto Sanga 1.3 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Nagoya Grampus 42%, draw 26%, Kyoto Sanga 32%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.70.
Price worth noting: Kyoto Sanga to win @3.40 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 32%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nagoya Grampus 1–1 Kyoto Sanga. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Nagoya Grampus42%fair 2.37 · @2.10
Draw26%fair 3.91 · @3.40
Kyoto Sanga32%fair 3.10 · @3.40
2.77Expected goals
1.46Nagoya Grampus xG
1.30Kyoto Sanga xG
59%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: Nagoya Grampus 1.5 – 1.3 Kyoto Sanga expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nagoya Grampus to win✓
42%
2.37
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.34
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.70
1.70
Draw no bet
Nagoya Grampus (draw no bet)✓
57%
1.77
–
Asian handicap
Kyoto Sanga +1 (Asian handicap)✗
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.34
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.97
1.90
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
1.11
First team to score
Nagoya Grampus to score first✓
50%
2.02
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nagoya Grampus / FT Nagoya Grampus✓
24%
4.16
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.40
–
Recent results
Nagoya Grampus – last 6
WWWWWL
6 May
vs Gamba Osaka
2–1
W
3 May
@ V-varen Nagasaki
2–1
W
25 Apr
@ Shimizu S-pulse
2–0
W
4 Apr
vs Cerezo Osaka
3–0
W
18 Mar
vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2–1
W
14 Mar
vs Vissel Kobe
0–3
L
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Kyoto Sanga – last 6
LLWLWL
2 May
vs Shimizu S-pulse
1–2
L
18 Apr
@ Cerezo Osaka
0–3
L
11 Apr
vs Fagiano Okayama
5–1
W
4 Apr
@ Gamba Osaka
0–2
L
18 Mar
@ V-varen Nagasaki
2–1
W
14 Mar
vs Cerezo Osaka
1–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nagoya Grampus and Kyoto Sanga.
What is the prediction for Nagoya Grampus vs Kyoto Sanga?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Nagoya Grampus vs Kyoto Sanga?
On our numbers Nagoya Grampus have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Kyoto Sanga 32%.
How many goals will there be in Nagoya Grampus vs Kyoto Sanga?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nagoya Grampus vs Kyoto Sanga?
Our predicted score is Nagoya Grampus 1–1 Kyoto Sanga, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Nagoya Grampus vs Kyoto Sanga?
Nagoya Grampus vs Kyoto Sanga (J1 League) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 08:00 (West Africa Time) at Toyota Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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