FC Tokyo 63%Draw 23%Tokyo Verdy 15%Expected goals 1.99 – 0.68
85%
Betarazi pick
FC Tokyo or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: FC Tokyo to win @ 1.83 – our chance 63% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultFC Tokyo to win ✓63% · @1.83
Double chanceFC Tokyo or draw ✓85% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 10.74
FC Tokyo vs Tokyo Verdy: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Tokyo Verdy travel to face FC Tokyo on Sunday 10 May in the J1 League, with Ajinomoto Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 07:00 WAT. In the table, FC Tokyo are 2nd, among the top four, on 37 points after 18 matches; Tokyo Verdy are 5th (upper half) with 28.
Current form
FC Tokyo, last 5: LWWWW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to JEF United Chiba, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.7 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Tokyo Verdy, last 5: LWWWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Kawasaki Frontale, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours FC Tokyo, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.5 for Tokyo Verdy.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give FC Tokyo 2.0 xG, Tokyo Verdy 0.7 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – FC Tokyo 63%, draw 23%, Tokyo Verdy 15%.
Lower-risk option: FC Tokyo or draw (85%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.10.
Price worth noting: FC Tokyo to win @1.83 – the bookmaker implies 55%, our ratings say 63%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was FC Tokyo or draw (85%, odds 1.20 – longer than our fair 1.17, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: FC Tokyo 1–0 Tokyo Verdy. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
FC Tokyo63%fair 1.60 · @1.83
Draw23%fair 4.36 · @3.30
Tokyo Verdy15%fair 6.89 · @4.40
2.66Expected goals
1.99FC Tokyo xG
0.68Tokyo Verdy xG
51%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
2–014%
1–19%
2–19%
3–09%
0–07%
From our goals model: FC Tokyo 2.0 – 0.7 Tokyo Verdy expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC Tokyo to win✓
63%
1.60
1.83 ▲
Double chance
FC Tokyo or draw✓
85%
1.17
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.95
2.10 ▲
Draw no bet
FC Tokyo (draw no bet)✓
81%
1.23
–
Asian handicap
FC Tokyo -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.81
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
1.05
First team to score
FC Tokyo to score first
69%
1.44
–
Half-time result
FC Tokyo ahead at half-time✗
48%
2.07
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC Tokyo / FT FC Tokyo✗
44%
2.26
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
9%
10.74
–
Recent results
FC Tokyo – last 6
LWWWWW
6 May
vs JEF United Chiba
0–3
L
2 May
vs Kawasaki Frontale
2–0
W
29 Apr
@ Kashiwa Reysol
3–1
W
24 Apr
vs Mito Hollyhock
5–2
W
11 Apr
@ Yokohama F. Marinos
3–1
W
1 Apr
@ Machida Zelvia
3–0
W
2.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Tokyo Verdy – last 6
LWWWLL
6 May
@ Kawasaki Frontale
0–1
L
3 May
vs Kashiwa Reysol
1–0
W
29 Apr
vs Kashima
2–1
W
18 Apr
vs JEF United Chiba
1–0
W
4 Apr
@ JEF United Chiba
2–3
L
18 Mar
vs Kawasaki Frontale
0–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC Tokyo and Tokyo Verdy.
What is the prediction for FC Tokyo vs Tokyo Verdy?
Our pick is FC Tokyo or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win FC Tokyo vs Tokyo Verdy?
On our numbers FC Tokyo have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Tokyo Verdy 15%.
How many goals will there be in FC Tokyo vs Tokyo Verdy?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Tokyo vs Tokyo Verdy?
Our predicted score is FC Tokyo 1–0 Tokyo Verdy, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is FC Tokyo vs Tokyo Verdy?
FC Tokyo vs Tokyo Verdy (J1 League) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 07:00 (West Africa Time) at Ajinomoto Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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