Wednesday 11 November 2026 19 live now 66% correct · last 30 days JackpotsNewsTelegram18+
BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

JEF United Chiba v Machida Zelvia: numbers & prediction

J1 League · Japan · Fukuda Denshi Arena

JEF United Chiba

WLLLL
0–2
FT

Machida Zelvia

WWWWL
JEF United Chiba 16%Draw 25%Machida Zelvia 59% Expected goals 0.75 – 1.73
76%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.32 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultMachida Zelvia to win ✓59% · @1.77
Double chanceMachida Zelvia or draw ✓84% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.62

JEF United Chiba vs Machida Zelvia: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

09:00 WAT, Sunday 10 May: JEF United Chiba v Machida Zelvia in the J1 League, played at Fukuda Denshi Arena. In the table, JEF United Chiba are 10th, in the drop zone, on 12 points after 18 matches; Machida Zelvia are 3rd (among the top four) with 37. There are 25 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

JEF United Chiba, last 5: WLLLL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over FC Tokyo, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Machida Zelvia, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Yokohama F. Marinos, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Machida Zelvia, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.0 for JEF United Chiba.

Head to head

When they last met (27 Feb 2026) it ended Machida Zelvia 2–1 JEF United Chiba.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give JEF United Chiba 0.8 xG, Machida Zelvia 1.7 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 52%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – JEF United Chiba 16%, draw 25%, Machida Zelvia 59%.
  • Lower-risk option: Machida Zelvia or draw (84%) at 1.18.
  • GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.93.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: JEF United Chiba 0–1 Machida Zelvia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

JEF United Chiba16%fair 6.21 · @4.60
Draw25%fair 4.03 · @3.50
Machida Zelvia59%fair 1.69 · @1.77
2.49Expected goals
0.75JEF United Chiba xG
1.73Machida Zelvia xG
52%Both score
45%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–114%
0–213%
1–111%
1–29%
0–08%
0–37%

From our goals model: JEF United Chiba 0.8 – 1.7 Machida Zelvia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMachida Zelvia to win ✓59%1.691.77
Double chanceMachida Zelvia or draw ✓84%1.191.18
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗52%1.931.93
Draw no betMachida Zelvia (draw no bet) ✓79%1.27–
Asian handicapMachida Zelvia -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.64–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓70%1.421.36
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓55%1.821.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76%1.321.25
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓88%1.131.08
First team to scoreMachida Zelvia to score first ✓64%1.56–
Half-time resultMachida Zelvia ahead at half-time ✓43%2.34–
Half-time / full-timeHT Machida Zelvia / FT Machida Zelvia ✓38%2.64–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%10.62–

Recent results

JEF United Chiba – last 6

WLLLLW
6 May@ FC Tokyo3–0W
2 May@ Urawa0–2L
29 Aprvs Yokohama F. Marinos2–3L
25 Apr@ Kawasaki Frontale1–2L
18 Apr@ Tokyo Verdy0–1L
4 Aprvs Tokyo Verdy3–2W
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Machida Zelvia – last 6

WWWWLW
6 Mayvs Yokohama F. Marinos2–0W
21 Aprvs Shabab Al Ahli Dubai1–0W
17 Aprvs Al-Ittihad FC1–0W
11 Aprvs Kashiwa Reysol1–0W
1 Aprvs FC Tokyo0–3L
22 Mar@ Urawa2–1W
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

27 Feb 2026Machida Zelvia v JEF United Chiba2–1
JEF United Chiba vs Machida Zelvia head-to-head page →

J1 League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Kashima181503+2045
2FC Tokyo181305+1437
3Machida Zelvia181305+637
4Kawasaki Frontale181008-228
5Tokyo Verdy181008-428
6Urawa187011+325
7Yokohama F. Marinos186012-320
8Kashiwa Reysol187011-220
9Mito Hollyhock186012-1618
10JEF United Chiba183015-1612

More J1 League predictions

League hub
– Shimizu S-pulse1 Avispa Fukuoka1 Pens 3–3 145%2.15X27%3.20228%3.50 1.5–1.1xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 77%@1.20 ✓
FT Vissel Kobe0 Fagiano Okayama3 161%1.65X23%3.70216%5.20 1.9–0.9xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 73%@1.35 ✓
– Yokohama F. Marinos1 Kashima1 Pens 4–5 127%3.65X25%3.45248%1.95 1.3–1.6xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 75%@1.30 ✓
FT FC Tokyo2 Tokyo Verdy1 163%1.83X23%3.30215%4.40 2.0–0.7xG 1XFC Tokyo or draw 85%@1.20 ✓
FT Kashiwa Reysol1 Kawasaki Frontale0 152%1.95X24%3.55224%3.55 1.8–1.2xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 78%@1.25 ✗
FT Nagoya Grampus3 Kyoto Sanga0 142%2.10X26%3.40232%3.40 1.5–1.3xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 74%@1.30 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for JEF United Chiba vs Machida Zelvia?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win JEF United Chiba vs Machida Zelvia?

On our numbers JEF United Chiba have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Machida Zelvia 59%.

How many goals will there be in JEF United Chiba vs Machida Zelvia?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for JEF United Chiba vs Machida Zelvia?

Our predicted score is JEF United Chiba 0–1 Machida Zelvia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is JEF United Chiba vs Machida Zelvia?

JEF United Chiba vs Machida Zelvia (J1 League) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 09:00 (West Africa Time) at Fukuda Denshi Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.