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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Real Cartagena v Internacional Palmira: numbers & prediction

Primera B · Colombia
Real Cartagena 55%Draw 26%Internacional Palmira 19% Expected goals 1.64 – 0.91
74%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.36 · bookmaker 1.28 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.28Odds

Picks by market

ResultReal Cartagena to win ✗55% · @1.80
Double chanceReal Cartagena or draw ✓81% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.46

Real Cartagena vs Internacional Palmira: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Wednesday 11 March the Primera B brings Real Cartagena against Internacional Palmira. Kick-off: 01:00 WAT. In the table, Real Cartagena are 3rd, among the top four, on 4 points after 3 matches; Internacional Palmira are 14th (in the drop zone) with 16. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Real Cartagena, last 3: WDL Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Orsomarso, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Real Cartagena 1.6 xG, Internacional Palmira 0.9 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Real Cartagena 55%, draw 26%, Internacional Palmira 19%.
  • Lower-risk option: Real Cartagena or draw (81%) at 1.17.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.77.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Real Cartagena 1–0 Internacional Palmira. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Real Cartagena55%fair 1.83 · @1.80
Draw26%fair 3.80 · @3.40
Internacional Palmira19%fair 5.25 · @3.95
2.55Expected goals
1.64Real Cartagena xG
0.91Internacional Palmira xG
56%Both score
48%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–013%
1–112%
2–010%
2–110%
0–08%
0–17%

From our goals model: Real Cartagena 1.6 – 0.9 Internacional Palmira expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Real CartagenaInternacional Palmira
Attack vs Primera B average+40%-14%
Goals conceded vs average+9%-4%
Our expected goals here1.550.91

Our own ratings from every Primera B result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultReal Cartagena to win ✗55%1.831.80
Double chanceReal Cartagena or draw ✓81%1.241.17
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓56%1.781.77
Draw no betReal Cartagena (draw no bet)74%1.35–
Asian handicapInternacional Palmira +1 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.65–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓72%1.391.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗52%1.911.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74%1.361.28
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓88%1.13–
First team to scoreReal Cartagena to score first59%1.69–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓43%2.34–
Half-time / full-timeHT Real Cartagena / FT Real Cartagena ✗33%3.01–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.46–

Recent results

Real Cartagena – last 3

WDL
7 Marvs Orsomarso4–0W
3 Mar@ Tigres FC0–0D
21 Febvs Leones FC2–3L
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Internacional Palmira – last 1

D
5 Mar@ Real Soacha2–2D
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Real Cartagena and Internacional Palmira.

Real Cartagena vs Internacional Palmira head-to-head page →

Primera B table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Envigado4219149+2171
2Quindio3920109+1370
3Real Cartagena41171410+1765
4Union Magdalena4017149+1665
5Internacional Palmira3617109+1061
6Tigres FC39131412+653
7Ind. Yumbo3412139+649
8Bogota FC36101412-644
9Real Cundinamarca33101211+142
10Popayan34101113-441
11Barranquilla36101016-440
12Patriotas309813-1035
13Orsomarso3081012-734
14Depor FC306915-1627
15Real Santander3051213-1727
16Leones FC305916-2624

More Primera B predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Real Cartagena vs Internacional Palmira?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Real Cartagena vs Internacional Palmira?

On our numbers Real Cartagena have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Internacional Palmira 19%.

How many goals will there be in Real Cartagena vs Internacional Palmira?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Real Cartagena vs Internacional Palmira?

Our predicted score is Real Cartagena 1–0 Internacional Palmira, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Real Cartagena vs Internacional Palmira?

Real Cartagena vs Internacional Palmira (Primera B) kicks off on Wednesday 11 March 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.