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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Depor FC v Orsomarso: numbers & prediction

Primera B · Colombia
1–1
FT
Depor FC 38%Draw 29%Orsomarso 33% Expected goals 1.10 – 0.95
64%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.50Odds

Picks by market

ResultDepor FC to win ✗38% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✗71% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7% · fair 13.52

Depor FC vs Orsomarso: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Orsomarso travel to face Depor FC on Wednesday 11 March in the Primera B – the ball rolls at 23:45 WAT. In the table, Depor FC are 11th, lower half, on 18 points after 15 matches; Orsomarso are 13th (lower half) with 17. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Depor FC, last 3: DLD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Leones FC, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.

Orsomarso, last 3: LLD Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Real Cartagena, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Depor FC 1.1 xG, Orsomarso 0.9 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 64%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Depor FC 38%, draw 29%, Orsomarso 33%.
  • GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.95.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (64%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Depor FC 1–0 Orsomarso. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Depor FC38%fair 2.62 · @2.40
Draw29%fair 3.47 · @2.95
Orsomarso33%fair 3.03 · @2.85
2.05Expected goals
1.10Depor FC xG
0.95Orsomarso xG
51%Both score
36%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–014%
1–113%
0–013%
0–112%
2–08%
2–17%

From our goals model: Depor FC 1.1 – 0.9 Orsomarso expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Depor FCOrsomarso
Attack vs Primera B average-3%-21%
Goals conceded vs average+20%+1%
Our expected goals here1.140.91

Our own ratings from every Primera B result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultDepor FC to win ✗38%2.622.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✗71%1.411.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓51%1.971.95
Draw no betDepor FC (draw no bet)54%1.87–
Asian handicapOrsomarso +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.63–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓62%1.611.45
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓64%1.561.50
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82%1.221.17
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓94%1.06–
First team to scoreDepor FC to score first47%2.14–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓49%2.03–
Half-time / full-timeHT Depor FC / FT Depor FC ✗22%4.59–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7%13.52–

Recent results

Depor FC – last 3

DLD
3 Marvs Leones FC0–0D
27 Feb@ Bogota FC0–1L
20 Febvs Patriotas1–1D
0.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Orsomarso – last 3

LLD
7 Mar@ Real Cartagena0–4L
22 Feb@ Real Soacha0–1L
18 Feb@ Popayan2–2D
0.7Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Depor FC and Orsomarso.

Depor FC vs Orsomarso head-to-head page →

Primera B table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Envigado4219149+2171
2Quindio3920109+1370
3Real Cartagena41171410+1765
4Union Magdalena4017149+1665
5Internacional Palmira3617109+1061
6Tigres FC39131412+653
7Ind. Yumbo3412139+649
8Bogota FC36101412-644
9Real Cundinamarca33101211+142
10Popayan34101113-441
11Barranquilla36101016-440
12Patriotas309813-1035
13Orsomarso3081012-734
14Depor FC306915-1627
15Real Santander3051213-1727
16Leones FC305916-2624

More Primera B predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Depor FC vs Orsomarso?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Depor FC vs Orsomarso?

On our numbers Depor FC have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Orsomarso 33%.

How many goals will there be in Depor FC vs Orsomarso?

We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Depor FC vs Orsomarso?

Our predicted score is Depor FC 1–0 Orsomarso, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.

When is Depor FC vs Orsomarso?

Depor FC vs Orsomarso (Primera B) kicks off on Wednesday 11 March 2026 at 23:45 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.