Union Magdalena 51%Draw 27%Real Soacha 22%Expected goals 1.26 – 0.87
81%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 52% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultUnion Magdalena to win ✗51% · @1.60
Double chanceUnion Magdalena or draw ✓78% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.17
Union Magdalena vs Real Soacha: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Real Soacha travel to face Union Magdalena on Wednesday 11 March in the Primera B, with Estadio Sierra Nevada the venue – the ball rolls at 23:00 WAT. In the table, Union Magdalena are 3rd, among the top four, on 4 points after 4 matches; Real Soacha are 4th (among the top four) with 1. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Union Magdalena 1.3 xG, Real Soacha 0.9 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 61%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Union Magdalena 51%, draw 27%, Real Soacha 22%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.10.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 52%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (81%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Union Magdalena 1–0 Real Soacha. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Union Magdalena51%fair 1.97 · @1.60
Draw27%fair 3.66 · @3.35
Real Soacha22%fair 4.54 · @5.60
2.13Expected goals
1.26Union Magdalena xG
0.87Real Soacha xG
52%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
1–113%
0–012%
0–110%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Union Magdalena 1.3 – 0.9 Real Soacha expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Union Magdalena
Real Soacha
Attack vs Primera B average
+10%
-2%
Goals conceded vs average
-9%
-23%
Our expected goals here
0.98
0.86
Our own ratings from every Primera B result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Union Magdalena to win✗
51%
1.97
1.60
Double chance
Union Magdalena or draw✓
78%
1.28
1.08
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.92
2.10 ▲
Draw no bet
Union Magdalena (draw no bet)
70%
1.43
–
Asian handicap
Real Soacha +1 (Asian handicap)✓
72%
1.38
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.07
–
First team to score
Union Magdalena to score first✓
52%
1.91
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Union Magdalena / FT Union Magdalena✗
26%
3.80
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.17
–
Recent results
Union Magdalena – last 2
WW
4 Mar
@ Barranquilla
3–1
W
24 Feb
vs Tigres FC
3–1
W
3.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Real Soacha – last 2
DW
5 Mar
vs Internacional Palmira
2–2
D
22 Feb
vs Orsomarso
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Union Magdalena and Real Soacha.
What is the prediction for Union Magdalena vs Real Soacha?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Union Magdalena vs Real Soacha?
On our numbers Union Magdalena have a 51% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Real Soacha 22%.
How many goals will there be in Union Magdalena vs Real Soacha?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Union Magdalena vs Real Soacha?
Our predicted score is Union Magdalena 1–0 Real Soacha, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Union Magdalena vs Real Soacha?
Union Magdalena vs Real Soacha (Primera B) kicks off on Wednesday 11 March 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Sierra Nevada.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
