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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Bogota FC v Tigres FC: numbers & prediction

Primera B · Colombia · Estadio Metropolitano de Techo
0–1
FT
Bogota FC 38%Draw 31%Tigres FC 31% Expected goals 0.85 – 0.88
68%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.55Odds

Picks by market

ResultBogota FC to win ✗38% · @2.05
Double chanceBogota FC or draw ✗69% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗6% · fair 17.75

Bogota FC vs Tigres FC: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Tigres FC travel to face Bogota FC on Wednesday 11 March in the Primera B, with Estadio Metropolitano de Techo the venue – the ball rolls at 21:00 WAT. In the table, Bogota FC are 10th, in the drop zone, on 18 points after 15 matches; Tigres FC are 2nd (among the top four) with 5. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Bogota FC, last 3: DWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Ind. Yumbo, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.

Tigres FC, last 4: DDLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Patriotas, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Momentum favours Bogota FC, collecting 2.3 points per game to 0.5 for Tigres FC.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Bogota FC 0.8 xG, Tigres FC 0.9 xG – a total near 1.7. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Bogota FC 38%, draw 31%, Tigres FC 31%.
  • Lower-risk option: Bogota FC or draw (69%) at 1.22.
  • GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.95.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (68%, odds 1.55 – longer than our fair 1.48, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bogota FC 0–0 Tigres FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Bogota FC38%fair 2.62 · @2.05
Draw31%fair 3.19 · @3.00
Tigres FC31%fair 3.28 · @3.45
1.73Expected goals
0.85Bogota FC xG
0.88Tigres FC xG
51%Both score
32%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–018%
0–116%
1–015%
1–113%
0–27%
2–06%

From our goals model: Bogota FC 0.8 – 0.9 Tigres FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Bogota FCTigres FC
Attack vs Primera B average-19%-8%
Goals conceded vs average-10%-38%
Our expected goals here0.580.81

Our own ratings from every Primera B result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBogota FC to win ✗38%2.622.05
Double chanceBogota FC or draw ✗69%1.441.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗51%1.951.95
Draw no betBogota FC (draw no bet) ✗56%1.80–
Asian handicapBogota FC +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗66%1.51–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗58%1.721.44
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68%1.481.55
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84%1.181.18
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓97%1.03–
First team to scoreTigres FC to score first ✓42%2.39–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓54%1.86–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw ✗25%3.92–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗6%17.75–

Recent results

Bogota FC – last 3

DWW
5 Mar@ Ind. Yumbo1–1D
27 Febvs Depor FC1–0W
22 Febvs Popayan2–1W
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Tigres FC – last 4

DDLL
6 Marvs Patriotas1–1D
3 Marvs Real Cartagena0–0D
24 Feb@ Union Magdalena1–3L
16 Febvs Ind. Yumbo1–3L
0.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
75%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Bogota FC and Tigres FC.

Bogota FC vs Tigres FC head-to-head page →

Primera B table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Envigado4219149+2171
2Quindio3920109+1370
3Real Cartagena41171410+1765
4Union Magdalena4017149+1665
5Internacional Palmira3617109+1061
6Tigres FC39131412+653
7Ind. Yumbo3412139+649
8Bogota FC36101412-644
9Real Cundinamarca33101211+142
10Popayan34101113-441
11Barranquilla36101016-440
12Patriotas309813-1035
13Orsomarso3081012-734
14Depor FC306915-1627
15Real Santander3051213-1727
16Leones FC305916-2624

More Primera B predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Bogota FC vs Tigres FC?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.

Who will win Bogota FC vs Tigres FC?

On our numbers Bogota FC have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 31% and Tigres FC 31%.

How many goals will there be in Bogota FC vs Tigres FC?

We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Bogota FC vs Tigres FC?

Our predicted score is Bogota FC 0–0 Tigres FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.

When is Bogota FC vs Tigres FC?

Bogota FC vs Tigres FC (Primera B) kicks off on Wednesday 11 March 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Metropolitano de Techo.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.